5th August 2014

Four hours of admin  has left me a little brain dead. it’s like having a proper job for christ sake.

I have had some very positive feedback on the new simple strategy that I added to the members area yesterday. It’s not rocket science but then trading isn’t.  Keep things simple and there is less to go wrong.

If you are not yet a Tradeshark Tennis member then jump on at www.tradesharktennis.com   One payment of £29 gets you lifetime membership. The members chat room is worth the fee on its own!

 

Rain delays in Toronto yesterday made it feel like a long session at times. Apparently they had hail there too! Hopefully the weather is a bit better today.

 

ATP Rogers Cup, 16:00Giraldo v Kyrgios

Giraldo is having a decent season so far. He takes on Aussie Kyrgios who has been practicing with the likes of Federer and Djokovic before this tournament. That certainly won’t hurt his game one bit.

Kyrgios reached the quarter finals at Wimbledon beating Nadal along the way. This is his first tournament since then as as he enters the draw as a Wild Card he has to hit the ground running.

Giraldo has played three events since his third round finish at Wimbledon. In two of the three tournaments he reached the quarter finals. He doesn’t have a good record at this event and hasn’t won a match in his 3 previous visits.

Away from the Challenger tour Kyrgios has won just one of his 3 matches on hard courts in the last 12 months. Giraldo is a very capable hard court player who is unlikely to be worried too much by Kyrgios’ big serve.

It should be a close match. I would have had Giraldo as slight favourite but the market starts Kyrgios at 1.90 .

I will wait to lay the Aussie when he goes a break ahead. I won’t be surprised if he starts quickly but Giraldo won’t be rolling over for him. Tie breaks wouldn’t be a shock to anyone.

 

WTA Rogers Cup, 17:00Pavlyuchenkova v Venus Williams.

Head to heads are 2-2 but they haven’t played since 2010. You have to expect lots of breaks and swings in this one. Williams looked like there was something wrong with her in the opening set of her match with Petkovic last week. She couldn’t buy a serve and lost the opening set 6-1 and went an early break behind in the second. I went to bed at that stage and was surprised to see she took it to a third set which Petkovic won 7-5. I read the next day she was having problems with her back.

Pavlyuchenkova has had a pretty dire season. She actually started well enough but since January she has only won 2 matches in a tournament twice. One of those was her last event in Washington where she reached the quarter finals so maybe her form is on the way back. having said that her two wins were over opponents ranked 116th and 200th.

Williams starts at 1.56 but we have to wait to see how she is serving. In fact both players’ serves are likely to range from hitting aces to barely reaching the net.

A lay the player to take an early lead seems like a good option. I expect Williams to trade much higher than her SP. If she is reasonably fit then she should take this one. her serve will give a good indication of just how fit she is on the day.

 

WTA Rogers Cup, 19:00 Garcia v Knapp

These two seem quite evenly matched. Garcia is the higher ranked player at 44th but her recent form has been below what we have come to expect from her. Her serve hasn’t been quite as reliable and that seems to have taken away some of her confidence.

Knapp has won both their previous meetings. Both were this season with the first being on hard courts in Doha in February. She has come through two qualifying rounds already which gives her a definite advantage.

Serves are key for this one. Both are capable of big serves but i have to go with Knapp due to her slightly stronger recent form.

Three sets look to be a real possibility as long as they are both putting pressure on serve. I would prefer to lay Garcia when she is an early break ahead.

 

 

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