9th May 2014

So Serena Williams has pulled out with a leg injury. Kvitova moves into the semi finals.

The Sharapova v Li, Bautista Agut v Giraldo and Ivanovic v Halep matches are covered for Shark Tips.

 

ATP Madrid, 14:30Nadal has never lost to Berdych on clay. He has won his last 17 matches against him on all surfaces.

Nadal hasn’t looked as assured as normal this season although that can be said about all players in 2014. He lost to Almagro and has also been beaten by Dolgopolov and Ferrer.

Berdych has had an excellent season but has suffered with injury and also thrown in the occasional poor match such as in the recent final in Portugal.

Berdych probably has a slight chance in Madrid as the thin air helps his serve fly that little bit faster.. he has said that he likes playing there for this reason. He has an excellent record there narrowly losing out to Wawrinka in the semi finals last season and taking the title the year before.

Nadal’s price is too low at 1.17 as the first set should be close and that has to be a lay for me although obviously I expect Nadal to win. There have been some strange results lately though and you can’t rely on anyone totally.

 

WTA Madrid, 16:00Garcia’s amazing run continued yesterday as she proved too strong for Errani. She won in 3 sets against the world number 11 clay specialist.

Radwanska had a real scare against Kuznetsova who managed to lose a second match in as many weeks from 4-1 up in the third set. Radwwanska won in a third set tie break.

Radwanska starts at 1.36 but if Garcia can serve as well as she has been then I can see Rad’s price trading a LOT higher.

Whether Garcia is able to get the better of one of the smartest players on the tour remains to be seen but expect a great match. I will be laying Radwanska but switching to her at a higher price. A switch at evens would be nice.

 

ATP Madrid, 19:00 –  Ferrer has won both his previous meetings with Gulbis. Both were on hard courts so with this one being on Ferrer’s strongest surface he must be a strong favourite.

Gulbis should hopefully make a match of it though as he has been playing at a high level this week. Janowicz took a set from him but both Dolgopolov and Cilic were despatched in straight sets.

Ferrer also lost a set in his first match of the week. He is another of the top players who hasn’t looked as solid this season.

Ferrer starts at 1.47 but we have a great chance of seeing a higher price. The conditions in Madrid give Gulbis more of a chance than he would have on a slower clay court. If he can maintain the form from the earlier rounds I wouldn’t be surprised to see him take this match but three sets seem likely either way.

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