Stefanos Tsitsipas 1.44, Filip Krajinovic 3.20
Due to start at 7 pm.
Tsitsipas won their only previous meeting. That was at this year’s French Open in May. He won on a clay court in 4 sets.
Overall results are very even this season. Indoor results are also close but favour Tsitsipas.
Tsitsipas has dropped one set this week to Berankis in the second round. Berankis took their opening set in a tie break. Earlier in the set he has won the first break of serve for a 2-1 lead but was immediately broken back. He has been broken just once in each round.
Krajinovic has not lost a set so far. He was comfortable in both his matches. Fognini has the ability to cause him problems but again seemed uninterested. Krajinovic reached the final last week in Stockholm so his legs may be feeling a little heavy.
Stats for the tournament favour Krajinovic. We have some value on him and we have a good chance of seeing 3 sets. I give Tsitsipas the edge to win as Krajinovic will tire a little in a long match.
Lay Tsitsipas around 1.30 and remove liability at 1.60. Back him around 1.85.
Update: Tsitsipas made a slow start and lost the first set. He fought back to win 3-6, 6-4, 6-4.
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