Djokovic has won all 5 of their previous matches. Raonic won just 1 set in those 5 matches which was a tie break on clay.
Nadal pushed Djokovic hard in their opening set. He broke him in the second game but Djokovic broke straight back. Nadal had a set point on the Djokovic serve but couldn’t convert it. Djokovic took the set in a tie break. Set 2 was one sided.
Raonic lost his first set of the tournament in the semi final. It was also the first match where he was broken twice. Obviously Raonic’s biggest hope is to serve the perfect match and take tie break sets. I think he can keep the sets tight but Djokovic will find a way to get the job done.
No value unless Raonic takes set 1. Let’s hope it goes to a tie break.