Close sets expected but Paire has the edge
Zverev 2.18, Paire 1.82
Zverev leads their previous matches 2-1. Their last meeting was on an indoor court in Montpellier In February this year. Paire won in straight sets. Zverev’s last win was at the US Open last year in 5 sets.
Zverev has not really got going this year. He has just 3 wins from his 11 matches. To be fair some of his losses were fairly close. He retired from his first round match at the Australian Open so perhaps he is battling with an ongoing minor injury.
Paire started 2018 very strongly with back to back semi finals in Pune and Sydney. He also reached the quarter finals in Montpellier indoors but has been inconsistent in other tournaments.
I have to favour Paire but anything can happen in this one. I will back Paire above 2.20 and will remove liability if he goes a break ahead. The sets should be tight.
Update: Very sloppy start from Paire but he got his act together from set 2.
Paire won 1-6, 6-1, 6-2.