Ferrer leads their meetings 9-1. Their last match was this month in Madrid and Ferrer won in 3 sets.
If there was any doubt about Ferrer not being at his best that doubt was removed when he needed 3 sets to beat Volandri in the last round. Volandri’s serve would be ridiculed on the WTA tour yet Ferrer only broke him 3 times in 3 sets. Ferrer reached the semi finals last year.
Garcia Lopez beat Fognini in the last round. If Fognini can put in one of his half arsed performances in front of his home fans he can do it anywhere.
I think we can easily see 3 sets again today. Surely Ferrer will be better today and should come through a tight match. Back Ferrer if he is broken and then Garcia Lopez holds serve.