Second round.

Bellis (2.02) v Pegula (1.96)

Due to start around 7 pm

Pegula won their only previous meeting. That was in Auckland in January this year. She won on a hard court in straight sets.

Long term overall results favour Bellis but Pegula has better results in 2020. Hard court results favour Pegula.

Bellis had an easy win in the last round over Di Lorenzo. She lost just 3 games. She reached the third round at the Australian Open in January. Her only decent hard court results in 2019 was a third round at the Houston Challenger in November.

Pegula beat Zvonareva in 3 sets in the last round. Her serve came under a fair amount of pressure and she faced 14 break points. She was broken 4 times. Last season she reached the final in Auckland where she lost to Serena in straight sets. She also made the quarter finals in two WTA Challenger tournaments.

I will have part stake on Pegula at 2.00 and add to it around 2.30.

 

Second round

Linette (2.74) v Brady (1.57)

Due to start at 8:30 pm

Brady leads their previous matches 2-1. They last met in August 2019 in Cincinnati. Brady won on a hard court in 3 sets. Linette’s win was on a hard court in 2018 at the Australian Open. She won in 3 sets.

Both players have strong results in the last 12 months and also in 2020. They have both won 73% of matches this season.

Brady’s hard court results are a little better in 2020. She reached the quarter finals in Brisbane and the semi finals in Dubai.

Linette won the hard court title in WTA Hua Hin, Thailand in February.

Both players had comfortable wins in the last round. Brady had a surprisingly easy win over Heather Watson and Linette beat Lauren Davis in straight sets.

We have some value on Linette and I think we could see 3 sets. I give a slight edge to Brady to win. Back Brady around 1.95 but if she gets a very early break of serve, lay her and remove liability at 1.55.

Update: A very one sided match. Brady took a double break 5-1 lead. She was broken serving for the set but broke again. A single break in the second set was enough to take a close set.
Brady won 6-2, 6-3.