TradeShark Diary, 1st March 2020

I am still struggling to work the diary into the daily routine ( or even the weekly routine). I am toying with the idea of doing a video diary instead. Maybe a mix between written and video entries.

At the moment it seems like an extra task. Of course it is an extra task but in terms of priority it is low down after match research, trading and the trading tips emails. My thoughts are that if I do a video diary I can just click record on the camera and talk while I work.

Diary

The tennis in the last 2 or 3 weeks has been challenging. Trading-wise things have been pretty normal. You trade the match in front of you. Predicting match winners has been the tough bit. Obviously I don’t really care about the match winners other than to get a better score on the tournament predictions.

Having not had any sort of holiday for several years we have booked a long weekend in May. I love holidays but my wife just likes being at home. Even when I explain to her that I WORK at home and it would be nice to have different surroundings for a few days she has not been enthusiastic. I mean it’s not like she needs to DO anything other than pack some clothes. I arrange it, book it, pay for it and drive us there. I look after the dogs’ needs. Anyway I will be letting subscribers know the exact dates soon.

Not many matches on today and as I have the house to myself I am going to get the dogs’ walk out of the way and settle down for an afternoon of football. I have to fix a problem in the kitchen at some point today. The socket for the dishwasher isn’t working but as it is behind the washing machine I have to drag everything out before I can see what the issue is. Hopefully a 10 minute job but how many times does a quick job turn into an afternoon?

 
Tennis Trading Guide

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WTA Acapulco, Final: Fernandez v Watson

Leylah Fernandez 1.87, Heather Watson 2.08

Due to start at midnight.

Watson has won both their previous matches. Their most recent match was in August last year. It was in the semi finals of the Vancouver ITF hard court tournament. She won in straight sets. Their other match was indoors in 2018. She won that one in 2 sets.

Overall results favour Fernandez in the last 12 months. Hard court results also favour her in the same period.

Watson won her last 2 matches this week as underdog. In the quarter final she beat Christina McHale in 3 sets and then defeated in form Xiyu Wang in 2 close sets in the semi final.

Fernandez
Fernandez – Photo: LastWordOnTennis

Fernandez has come through the qualifying rounds and 4 main draw matches without losing a set. She was underdog in the second round and quarter final. Nao Hibino was easily beat in round 2 for the loss of just 3 games. The quarter final was closer but Anastasia Potapova only managed to break the Fernandez serve twice. In the semi final Renata Zarazua disrupted Fernandez’ game but still couldn’t take a set.

Stats for the tournament all favour Fernandez. This should go to 3 sets. Some value on Watson. Lay Watson around 1.65 to 1.70 and remove some or all liability at 2.30. Lay the set 1 winner.

 
Tennis Trading Guide

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