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Download link: Trading Tips 24th June

WTA Bad Homburg
Navarro 1.69 v Ruse
Due to start at 2:30 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Navarro 3-0. Most recent Feb 2026, hard, 2 sets. She won on hard in Sep 2025, 2 sets. 2 sets win on clay in 2024. Grass win %’s favour Ruse.

Navarro reached the Quarter final last season. She beat Lys in 2 sets in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Swiatek in the 2nd round.
Final in Nottingham 2026, 4th Round at Wimbledon 2025.

Ruse has come through the qual rounds. Easy win over Noskova as underdog in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Kalinskaya in the 2nd round.
Quarter finals Hertogenbosch 2026.

12 month grass stats favour Ruse on serve and favour Navarro on return.
2026 stats on all surfaces favour Navarro.
Chance of 3 sets. If Navarro is motivated to have another long week before Wimbledon, she has the edge.
Back Navarro around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match prediction: Navarro in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Navarro served first. The first 2 games were holds of serve with no break points.
1-0
1-1

Navarro faced a break point at 30-40. I placed a small back of Navarro at 1.89. She saved the break points and held serve.
2-1

Ruse went 15-30 behind. I removed liability at 1.50. I left the profit on Navarro. Ruse went on to hold serve.
2-2

The next 2 games were holds of serve with no break points.
3-2
3-3

Navarro went 30-40 behind again. This time, I stayed out as we were potentially very close to the end of the set. She saved the break point but faced another and was broken.
3-4

The next 3 games were hold and Ruse took the set.
3-5
4-5
4-6

Stats for the set were fairly even, other than the fact that Navarro faced 3 break points and Ruse did not face any. Both had low first serve percentages.

After the set, Ruse was priced at 1.46/1.47.

I had been concerned that Navarro may not want another long week right before Wimbledon. I went into the second set with a free bet on her.

Navarro served first in the second set.
The first 4 games of the set were very easy holds.
2-2

Navarro was broken to 30. I could have taken a small profit at 1.19 but decided to let the free bet run.
2-3

Ruse held to 30.
2-4

Navarro was broken again to 30.
2-5

Ruse served out the match to 0.
2-6

Ruse won 6-4, 6-2.