Semi Final
Tsitsipas 3.3 v Medvedev 1.43
Due to start at 8:30 am

Medvedev 6-1. Most recent June 2021, clay, Tsitsipas in straight sets. Medvedev won their match at the Australian Open 2021, straight sets. Medvedev won all 4 of their hard court matches. Tsitsipas took a set in each of their 2 hard court matches in 2018.

Hard court win percentages are strong for both players but favour Medvedev. He has won 43 of his last 50. Tsitsipas won 38 of 50.

It was a very easy win for Tsitsipas over Sinner in the last round. The roof was closed which changed conditions. Tsitsipas played a superb match. Can he match that level again today?

Medvedev has had to work very hard in some of his matches. In the last round he was 2 sets down against Auger Aliassime. Kyrgios and Cressy both took sets from him.

Stats for the tournament are very even. Both have served extremely well. I expect Medvedev to win but he won’t have an easy match. Back him above 1.95 and remove liab at 1.45. Lay set 1 winner.

   

Semi Final
Collins 2.36 v Swiatek 1.72
Due to start at 10 am

Swiatek 1-0 (Feb 2021, hard, Collins retired).

Long term overall win percentages are strong for both but slightly favour Collins. Hard court win percentages are also good for both players and favour Collins.

Swiatek’s 2nd serve has been poor in the last 2 rounds. Those were the matches that went to 3 sets. She lost the first set in those matches. She had been pretty comfortable in the early rounds.

Collins has had a slight back problem in the last couple of rounds. She was not tested by Cornet in the last match. She needed 3 sets in 2 of her matches. IN the 3rd round, Tauson took their opening set and in the 4th round, Mertens also took the first set from Collins after Collins gave up a 3-0 lead.

Stats for the tournament favour Swiatek for everything except service holds. Stats for their last 10 on hard all favour Swiatek. Collins will try to attack weak 2nd serves so Swiatek needs to improve that serve. Lay Swiatek around 1.45 to 1.50 and remove liab at 1.90. Lay the set 1 winner. Tough to pick a winner. Value on Collins.