Daily match picks

Daily match tips

ATP Vienna: Lopez v Simon

Feliciano Lopez 2.46, Gilles Simon 1.67

 

Due to start at 1 pm.

Lopez leads their previous matches 6-3. Their last meeting was at Queens Club in June this year. He won on grass in a 3rd set tie break. He won their last 4 matches with 3 of them being on grass. Their only indoor match was in 2008 and went Simon’s way.

Overall results are close but favour Lopez in the last 12 months. Long term indoor results are a little better for Simon.

Simon reached the semi finals last week in Antwerp. He beat Tsonga in straight sets in the 2nd round. He has only won half his matches in 2019. He reached the quarter finals in Marseille in February.

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The first half of 2019 wasn’t great for Lopez. He had some success on grass and took the title at Queens Club and that seemed to boost his confidence. He reached the 3rd round at the US Open. He beat Cameron Norrie last week and also lost to Wawrinka in 3 sets although took the deciding set to a tie break.

Some value on Lopez and I think we’ll see 3 sets. Lay Simon around 1.45 to 1.50 and remove liability at 1.90. Lay the set 1 winner.

 

 

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WTA Luxembourg Final: Ostapenko v Goerges

Jelena Ostapenko 2.10, Julia Goerges 1.90

 

Due to start at 2 pm.

This is their first meeting.

Overall results favour Goerges in the last 12 months. Both players have very strong indoor results.

Ostapenko could have been expected to be tired after reaching the final last week in Linz. Cori Gauff who beat her in that final was too tired to compete in her first match in this tournament. Her serve has improved as she has moved through the tournament. She needed 3 sets to beat Anna Blinkova in the semi final but was only broken once.

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Goerges won the title last year. Her only straight sets win of the week came in the semi final against Elena Rybakina. She lost the opening set in the 1st 3 rounds

Stats for the tournament favour Ostapenko. It’s very tough to separate them today. I am giving Goerges the edge for this one. Lay Ostapenko around 1.65 to 1.70 and remove the liability at 2.30. Lay the set 1 winner.

 

 

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WTA Kremlin Cup, Moscow: Muchova v Alexandrova

Quarter Final

Karolina Muchova 1.72, Ekaterina Alexandrova 2.36

 

Due to start at 2:30 pm.

This will be their first meeting.

Better overall results for Muchova in 2019. Both players are strong indoors but Alexandrova has slightly better results.

Alexandrova has faced 2 weak opponents so far. Jana Cepelova and Wild Card Anna Kalinskaya are ranked 141 and 100 respectively.  Alexandrova won both matches very convincingly. She had a disappointing loss to Ostapenko last week. It was disappointing as she was 6-1, 3-1 up but went on to lose 5-7 in the deciding set.

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Muchova has beaten Donna Vekic and Svetlana Kuznetsova in straight sets this week. She won the hard court title in Seoul last month.

We have a good chance of seeing 3 sets. Both have won 8 of their last 10 indoors but both of Muchova’s “losses” were due to walkover.  Back Muchova around 1.95. Lay the set 1 winner.

 

 

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