China Open – Wed/ Japan open – Wed

For the early birds…….

06:00 – Davydenko v Kohlschreiber

Rankings are 8 and 22. Head to heads are 2-2. Its Kohlschreiber’s turn to win but I think he’ll be disapponted.

In his recent final against Monfils Kohlschreiber put up a great fight but just lacked a little belief in himself. This isn’t a final so there’s less pressure but I think Davydenko’s experience will guide him through.

They both win 82% of service games. Davydenko’s forst serve percentage is superb at 69% but his opponent is only 3 points behind him.

On return of serve Davydenko wins 32% of games to Kohlschreiber’s 25%.

Back Davydenko on serve. I expect him to win although wouldn’t be surprised to see a 3 setter.

Update: My turn to be surprised! Davydenko won 6-1, 6-0. Not sure anyone would have predicted such an easy win.

 

08:00 – Monaco v Garcia-Lopez ( sorry folks, this match was in Japan, not China! )

Rankings are 31 and 52. Head to heads are 1-1.

Monaco wins 77% of servcie games to G-L’s 74%. Monaco is 4th ranked overall at return games won ( 32%). G-L wins 27%.

Could be a tight match and I recommend backing Monaco on serve. A combination of the stats and recent form make him my favourite.

Should be 2 sets.

Update: G-L retired at 5-0 down in the first set. Unfortunately that means that bets will be void. (although One of our members says he has been paid out ). I would have thought that if Garcia-Lopez was going to retire he would make sure it was before the end of the set so that the lost set doesn’t show on his record. If anyone else has been paid out on this match please let me know  🙂

 

12:00 – Dementieva v Li

Rankings are 4 and 16. Head to heads are 2-1 to Dementieva.

The market has Dementieva as fave at 1.58 but she isn’t going to get this all her own way. Li is in great form and Dementieva is due one of her wobbles. She has the ability to be number 1. The only problem is she doesn’t have the concentration required. She disappears in the middle of a match sometimes.

Here she is playing an inform Li who is playing infront of her home crowd which will give the Chinese girl a massive boost.

Can easily be a 3 setter and I recommend 15-40.

I am slightly leaning towards a Li win.

Update: Hmm, leaning towards her to wake the bugger up! Not my best shout ever. Dementieva won 6-2, 6-0. Good job I recommended 15-40 rather than backing Li from the start….

    Trading Guide

4 thoughts on “China Open – Wed/ Japan open – Wed”

  1. hi!
    just a question aboout the monaco – lopez match. I traded the first set, and was in profit on monaco, but lopez retired. The strange thing I received my winnings?? eventhough the first set was not completed?? Do you have any info on that?

    Thanks in advance! 🙂

    1. Hi Ivan,

      No is the short answer to that. The rule is that if the first set isn’t completed the bets are void. Have never been paid out after 5-0 in the first. Did anyone else have this? I wasn’t able to trade this match. ( Just realised i posted the match as being in the China Open but its in Japan! Doh!

  2. Hey TradeShark, just a question about “strategic” retiring. You mentioned a couple of times that players will retire “strategically” before the first set completes if they have an injury, the strategic part being so the lost set does not appear on their record. What benefit is that to them?

    -SilkBC

    1. Hi Silk,
      Not sure its anything other than pride. The lower ranked players will rarely do it as their stats are poor anyway.

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