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ATP Metz
Cazaux v Norrie 1.78
Due to start at 6:30 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

Norrie 1-0 (Oct 2025, hard, 3rd set tie break). Indoor win %’s are better for Norrie.

Cazaux lost in the qual rounds last year. 2 sets win over Mannarino in the 11st round. 2nd round in Paris. 2nd round in Montpellier. 3rd round in Paris 2024 as lucky loser.

Norrie reached the Final last season. 3 sets win over Royer in the 1st round as slight favourite. 3rd round in Paris. 2nd rounds in Vienna and Dallas.

12 month and 2025 indoor stats are stronger for Norrie. very good chance of 3 sets.
Back Norrie around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match Prediction: Norrie in 3 sets.

Update: Norrie broke serve in the first game of the match. I laid Norrie at 1.42.

The next 2 games were holds. Norrie served at 2-1. He faced a break point at 30-40. I would have liked to remove some liability but the price was only 1.44 so I waited. Norrie recovered to hold. Cazaux then had an easy hold to get to 2-3. In the next game, Norrie went 15-40 down. I removed some liability at 1.68 and hedged after the break at 2.02.

There were no more breaks in the set and they went to a tie break that Cazaux won easily 7-1.

I laid Cazaux at 1.33 at the start of set 2. Norrie was serving first and held to 0. When Cazaux served, he went 30-40 behind and I removed all my liability to leave a free bet on Norrie. Cazaux recovered to hold. Cazaux faced another break point in his next service game but recovered again.

Norrie served at 4-4 and faced a break point at 30-40. He also recovered to hold. It was feeling like the set would go to another tie break. There were no more break points and they did go to a tie break. I was tempted to hedge but as I had a free bet on my pre match selection, I shut my eyes and prayed!

Cazaux was twice a mini break ahead and was 5-4 ahead and serving. Norrie recovered to take the tie break 9-7. I hedged at 2.16 on Cazaux’ ladder. I did not enter in the 3rd set. Norrie took it easily with 2 breaks of serve.

Norrie won 6-7, 7-6, 6-2.

These tips are taken from the Tennis Trading Tips email. Get information, stats and tips on every main tour match 7 days a week. Every day, I research all the ATP and WTA matches and write trading notes for my own use. I refer to these notes during the trading session and will not trade a match until I have used the notes to remind me of my trading plan for that match.
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ATP Metz
Royer v Norrie 1.62
Due to start at 5 pm
Confidence rating 7/10

1st meeting. Indoor win %’s are better for Norrie.

Royer reached the 2nd rounds in Basel and Brussels in Oct. CH Semi in Feb.

Norrie reached the Final last season. 3rd round in Paris. 2nd rounds in Vienna and Dallas.

2025 indoor stats favour Norrie.
Back Norrie around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.

Match prediction: Norrie in 2 sets.

Update: Norrie broke Royer’s serve in the 4th game to lead 3-1. His first 2 holds were to 15. I decided to stay out of the market to see if Royer could put any pressure on the Norrie serve for the rest of the set. The remaining games were comfortable holds for both players.

As there had only been 1 break in the first set, I thought there was a little value in laying Norrie in the 2nd set. I laid him at 1.16.

There were no break points in the first 4 games. Royer faced a break point when he served at 2-2 but her recovered to hold. When he served at 3-3, he went 15-40 behind. He recovered to hold. I seemed more likely that Norrie was going to break first. I have a rule that if I have laid the set winner and the score reached 4-4, I exit. Norrie had an easy hold to 0 to take them to 4-4 and I exited at 1.14.

The 4-4 exit saves me more times than it means I miss out on a profit. This was one of the times that I missed out on a profit! The set went to a tie break that Royer won easily, 7-2.

I did not enter in the 3rd set. Norrie broke to lead 2-0 and that was the only break of the set.

Norrie won 6-3, 6-7, 6-3.

These tips are taken from the Tennis Trading Tips email. Get information, stats and tips on every main tour match 7 days a week. Every day, I research all the ATP and WTA matches and write trading notes for my own use. I refer to these notes during the trading session and will not trade a match until I have used the notes to remind me of my trading plan for that match.
I will email you my notes 7 days a week.

Click here to sign up to get the emails from TODAY>>>