Trading Tip – WTA Cincinnati, Rakhimova v Sakkari

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

WTA Cincinnati
Rakhimova v Sakkari 1.56
Due to start at 8:30 pm

Confidence rating 7.5/10

Sakkari 3-0. Most recent July 2026, grass, 3rd set tie break. She won on hard in 2025, 3 sets. She won on clay in 2020, 2 sets. Hard win %’s favour Sakkari.

Rakhimova lost in the 1st round as qualifier last year. Easy win over Birrell in the 1st round.
3rd round in Toronto. 2nd round in Madrid 2026. 2nd round in Indian Wells 2026.

Sakkari reached the 2nd round last season.
Final in Athens 2026, Semi finals in Doha 2026, 3rd Round at the US Open 2025.

12 month and 2026 stats favour Sakkari overall.
Back Sakkari around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match prediction: Sakkari in 2 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Sakkari served first. She held to 30.
0-1

Rakhimova saved 2 break point but faced another and was broken. I laid Sakkari at 1.31.
0-2

Sakkari went 40-15 ahead. She faced a break point which was saved. She faced another and was broken. I removed liability at 1.50, leaving the green on Sakkari.
1-2

The next 2 games were holds with no break points.
2-2
2-3

Rakhimova saved a break point but faced another and was broken.
2-4

Sakkari held to 15. Rakhimova went 40-15 ahead but was broken to hand Sakkari the set.
2-5
2-6

Stats for the set were better for Sakkari overall although she had a low first serve percentage.
After the set, Sakkari was priced at 1.15/1.16.

Set 1 stats

Sakkari served first in the second set. As Rakhimova was broken 3 times in the first set and because I expected a straight sets win for Sakkari, I was not keen to lay her.
The first 2 games were holds.
0-1
1-1

Sakkari was broken to 15. Rakhimova then held after being taken to deuce. Sakkari was then broken to 30. I placed a back on Sakkari at 1.65.
2-1
3-1
4-1

Rakhimova was broken to 30. Sakkari held to 30. Rakhimova was broken to 30. I hedged at 1.19 on Sakkari’s ladder.
4-2
4-3
4-4

Sakkari held after saving 2 break points. Rakhimova held to 30.
4-5
5-5

Sakkari saved 4 break points. She faced a 5th break point and was broken.
6-5

Rakhimova served for the set. She saved 2 break points but recovered to hold.
7-5


Stats for the set were pretty even.
After the set, Sakkari was priced at 1.68/1.69.

Set 2 stats

Sakkari served first in the deciding set. I was wanting to back her if she went a break behind.

Sakkari held to 30.
Rakhimova was broken to 30.
Sakkari held to 30.
0-1
0-2
0-3

Rakhimova was broken again after saving 3 break points.
0-4

I closed the market down.
Rakhimova broke in the next game but was then broken again herself.
1-4
1-5

Sakkari served out the set and the match to 0.
1-6.

Sakkari won 6-2, 5-7, 6-1.

Trading Tip - WTA Cincinnati, Rakhimova v Sakkari 1

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Trading Tip – ATP Montreal, Jodar v Nakashima

The link below is yesterday’s Trading Tips file as an example of what you get:

ATP Montreal
Jodar 1.48 v Nakashima
Due to start at 11 pm

Confidence rating 7/10

1st meeting. Hard win %’s favour Jodar.

Jodar had a 3 sets win in the 2nd round as favourite. Easy win over Musetti in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Lehecka as slight favourite in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Fils in the q final as slight underdog.
He reached the Final in Washington 2026, 3rd Round in Miami 2026.

Nakashima reached the 3rd round last year. Easy win over Altmaier in the 2nd round. He needed 3 sets against Droguet in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Rinderknech as favourite in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Darderi in the q final.
Semi finals in Washington 2026, Semi finals in Acapulco 2026, Final in Brisbane 2026, Quarter finals in Tokyo 2025, Semi finals in Chengdu 2025.

12 month and 2026 stats favour Nakashima on serve. Return stats are much stronger for Jodar.
The sets will be close. Chance of 3 sets.
Lay Jodar around 1.30 and remove liability at 1.60. Back Jodar around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.

Match prediction: Jodar in 3 sets.

Embed from Getty Images

Update: Nakashima served first. He held to 0.
0-1

Jodar saved 3 break points before holding.
1-1

Nakashima held to 15.
1-2

Jodar went 0-40 behind. He had not made a good start but it was early days. I placed a small back on Jodar at 1.92.
He recovered to hold. I removed liability at 1.58, leaving the green on Jodar.
2-2

The next 8 games were holds with no break points. They were going into a tie break. I hedged at 1.57.
6-6

Nakashima took the tie break 7-3.
6-7

Not a great set from Jodar, despite not being broken. He faced 6 break points. He only once got to 30 on return of serve.

Nakashima was priced at 1.62/1.63 after the set.

Set 1 stats

Jodar served first in the second set. I waited for him to have his serve. He was broken to 0. He was looking second best and was probably low on energy.
Still, you never know. I placed a small lay on Nakashima at 1.26. My small profit from the first set kept the liability small.
0-1

Nakashima was taken to deuce for the first time in the match but did not face a break point.
0-2

Jodar had to save a break point but held.
1-2

Nakashima went 15-40 behind. I hedged at 1.40. I was not confident that Jodar could break. Nakashima saved the break points and held.
1-3

The next 4 games were holds. Jodar saved a break point when he served at 2-4.
2-3
2-4
3-4
3-5

Jodar served at 4-5 to stay in the match. He saved 2 match points but eventually held.
4-5

Nakashima served for the match. He saved 4 break points and needed 3 match points to get the job done.
4-6

Nakashima won 7-6, 6-4.

Small profit. When your favoured player loses in straight sets, not losing money is a bonus!

Trading Tip - ATP Montreal, Jodar v Nakashima 2

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