French Open 2012, week 1 Wednesday

Great to see Serena Williams get dumped out of the tournament in the first round!

 

For anyone who missed it here is the second part of the final game which lasted a loooong time.

 

 

Ferrero v Cilic:

They have played just once before which was on a hard court in 2009. Cilic won in straight sets.

Both had easy first round matches. Ferrero has been in respectable form recently but fitness could be an issue if this goes to 4 or 5 sets.

Cilic has also been in great form and seems to have found some consistency at last ( that could be the kiss of death!). He took Almagro to 3 sets in Rome but fell away completely in the 3rd.

As both can be tough to break I feel this is unlikely to be over in 3 sets. That favours Cilic. I will be backing him with part stake at the start. He sometimes struggles to hold early in a match but usually gets there in the end so the chance of topping up the back over evens seems likely. The part stake back is there in case he comes out serving 4 aces per game and his price drops almost immediately and never recovers.

Cilic to win  in 4 sets.

Update: Close first set with Cilic being broken early. He took the set in a tie break  and controlled the match from there.

Cilic won 7-6, 6-2, 6-3.

 

A Radwanska v V Williams:

The last time they played was in March and Radwanska ended a 5 match losing run against Williams. Head to heads are 5-2.

Williams was very poor in her first set against Ormaechea, losing it 4-6. She cut out most of the errors in the next 2 sets and her opponent just couldn’t stay with her.

Radwanska has looked a little vulnerable against any player with a decent serve. If Williams can serve well she has a chance. She recently beat Stosur ( although Stosur had a nightmare on serve) and pushed Sharapova close.

Radwanska is likely to be more consistent as that it pretty much what she bases her whole game around. She keeps going and waits for the errors to come from her opponent. She does it with a little more class than, say, Wozniacki and expect a lot of drop shots.

Williams is not yet at her best but I think she will compete more than in their last match. She can’t afford a bad start though as Radwanska is tough to come back against. I do feel that 1.46 is a little short though as Williams is likely to come out swinging and could catch her off guard.

I think we will see 3 sets today with Radwanska coming through to win.

Update: A combination of Williams being poor and Radwanska being superb gave us a very one sided match.

Radwanska won 6-2, 6-3.

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