The Wimbledon draw takes place this morning. I will be posting a run down of the matches during Saturday. Let’s hope we don’t get as many rain delays as we have seen over the last couple of weeks!
We have a few more games than expected today as a few were held over from yesterday due to……rain.
Not a great deal of value in the starting prices. Petzschner v Malisse will be another game dominated by serve. Malisse is a little on the low side at 1.66 but I feel he has been the better player this week. However Petzschner has only played 2 matches compared to Malisse’s 3 due to Pavic withdrawing and the German hasn’t lost a set so far so a lay of Malisse may get you a lucky break. Malisse will win the match though in my opinion.
Roddick’s serve seems to be back on song and the market reacts by crushing his price again. He is 1.20 against Fognini. Has to be a lay for me as Foggy beat another “big” server in Tomic yesterday. I’d expect roddick to win though.
Bartoli shouldn’t have many problems with Paszek but at 1.21 she is too low for a semi final. This is one to grab the higher price if/when it presents itself. 1.50 would be nice.
Harrison and Istomin should have a closer match than the starting price on Istomin of 1.64 suggests. Harrison has been serving well but his return game leaves a lot to be desired. Istomin came through in a third set tie break against Granollers and whilst he has held most of his service games this week he has had to work very hard for a lot of them. I will see how they start but may lay Istomin early in the match. You have to favour him to get the win though as he has the better all-round game.
Kohlschreiber starts as slight favourite against defending champion Seppi. The German was taken to 3 sets in the last round by Jamie Baker from Britain but has looked pretty solid recently including his straight sets win over Nadal last week. The head to heads are 3-3 and oddly all their previous matches have been won in straight sets. Its a bit of a coin toss so you could argue that value is with Seppi but I am going for a Kohlschreiber win.
Zakopalova has been in decent form and has 3 good wins this week to add to her excellent run in the French Open. Kerber is well suited to grass courts though. She lost her opening set of the week to Vesnina but has looked impressive since then. She dealt with the rain delays better than Makarova yesterday and I expect her to come through this one. A fair chance of getting a higher price on her in the first 2 or 3 games.
Baby Radwanska takes on Clijsters in the last match of the day. Kim looked superb at times against Schiavone but also showed signs of rustiness with some uncharacteristic misses. Radwanska is in the form of her life and will put up a good fight but I don’t see her winning this. 1.28 on Clijsters is probably a fair starting price but I want 1.50 at least.