Friday 23rd August 2013 – The semi finals

Some of the matches this week have felt quite random with a lot of the players having one eyes on next week’s US Open. Players like Richard Berankis have taken advantage and despite not having much recent success on the main tour he made it to the quarter finals. Also who would have picked Melzer to be in the semi finals? I certainly didn’t.

On the WTA side 3 of the 4 are no surprise but whilst Zakopalova is very capable she has made it though despite having a bit of a nightmare on serve at times.

 

Kvitova and Zakopalova are first up. Both have struggled on second serve this week and I think we will see a few swings in the prices.

They have played 3 times with Zak winning the first two in 2007. The only recent match was in March this year in Indian Wells. Kvitova won that convincingly in straight sets.

Kvitova has been taken to 3 sets in every round so far ad the third sets have been close. Zakopalova has managed just 1 straight sets win but to be fair in the other matches I didn’t expect her to win.

If either of these players can find the big serve it is Kvitova and if she plays with controlled aggression she should take this. Don’t be surprised to see Zak take the opening set though. I’ll be backing Kvitova if she goes a break behind.

Update: Did I say swingy? Kvitova won 6-0, 6-1.

 

Monfils and Dolgopolov have met just once before. That is unless you include this….

 

Anyway on the tennis court Monfils won in 4 close sets at this year’s Australian Open.

I have been concerned all week that Monfils isn’t fully fit but his performances suggest he is.  Dolgopolov has reached the quarter finals in both his previous visits to this event but it has to be said he hasn’t been playing at the same level he was at this time last year. He also had an MTO in the last match and judging by the market reaction that saw Lu matched very low despite being a set down it must have looked as though Dolgopolov was going to retire.

I have to go with a Monfils victory in this one although I won’t be backing at his SP of 1.65 .

Update: Monfils didn’t look like he cared at the start. We saw the trainer waiting at the side of the court. Monfils went 3-0 down and after the MTO was broken again. Then Dolgopolov started to implode.

Monfils came back and won the set in a tie break despite Dolgo twice being a mini break up.

An early break should have been added to a couple of times before Monfils broke  again for the match.

Monfils won 7-6, 6-3.

 

Where has this Melzer form come from? Did he beat Paire or did the Frenchman sulk due to the rain delay? He has admitted to easily getting bored and he doesn’t usually handle rain delays well. From a 3-1 lead in the second set Paire didn’t win another game.

Tursunov has played a fair bit of tennis recently and I have been waiting for him to show signs of wanting a rest. Melzer beat him surprisingly easily in 2 sets.  Also De Bakker retired in their third set so Melzer seems to have a charmed life but he has grabbed the opportunities with both hands.

Querrey’s serve wasn’t quite firing in his early matches although he started to find his range against Nieminen. He came back from a set down to win sets 2 and 3 in tie breaks. I seem to remember he also saved match points.

He ended the run of Richard Berankis in straight sets when many were expecting at least a set from Berankis.

I am slightly favouring Querrey as I feel he is playing himself into a bit of form. I guess today we will see just how much help Melzer had from his opponents. Absolutely zero value on Querrey at 1.60 .

 

Finally we have Halep against Wozniacki.

Wozniacki looked like she was going to be over powered by Sloane Stephens last night but I was very impressed with the way she came back in the first set and then dominated the second.

Halep has looked vulnerable at times this week and I though Suarez Navarro had her beaten in the second round. Thankfully for SHARK TIPS subscribers she fought back and finished the match very strongly. In the last round Makarova had a break lead for most of the second set before falling to a late break. Halep took the set in a tie break.

The market isn’t took sure with Wozniacki drifting slightly during the day but I am going with her to get the win and continue her amazing run at this tournament. She has lost just 1 match there since 2008 and hasn’t missed a single year.

 

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3 thoughts on “Friday 23rd August 2013 – The semi finals”

  1. That clip is genius – Dolgo has just risen significantly in my opinion

    incidentally, Zak seems to be getting a nice confidence booster before the US Open…

    1. pity she didnt play like this last night. Yeah that video isnt quite as cringe worthy as expected

  2. Monfils seems to be playing the Bez out the Happy Mondays role whereas Dolgo is liquid!

    How badly must Vesnina have played second half of last night. Zak isn’t even getting the ball half way up the net

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