Friday 26th October

When will the Granollers Valencia bubble burst? He started yesterday’s match with Simon as a real underdog at 3.00 despite leading their head to heads 3-1, being on home soil and being defending champion. Today against Dolgopolov he is again the underdog despite leading the head to heads 2-1, being on home soil and being defending champion.

In yesterday’s match Simon made the better start but the unforced errors increased as the match wore on. Dolgopolov was in charge of his match with Muller from the very first game although Muller’s performance was pitiful compared to his recent form.

Dolgopolov starts at 1.71 . When Simon played aggressively in the first few games yesterday Granollers didn’t really have the answers. Dolgopolov plays his best tennis when he attacks and I see no reason why he wouldn’t use that tactic again today. I would prefer a price nearer evens though and I will wait for at least that before backing him.

 

Mathieu lives in Switzerland and probably needed the support of the locals to pull him through against Davydenko. He has another tough match today against Dimitrov who played a long 3 setter in the last round to beat Benneteau. That match was 3 tie breaks.

If Mathieu is also serving well then this can be another tight one and whilst I favour Dimitrov his starting price of 1.61 is a little tight. I will wait for 1.85 or above unless Mathieu is really struggling in the early games.

 

Azarenka needs a win today to secure the number 1 spot at the end of the season. She pushed Serena Williams close yesterday and was a double break up in the second set. However from 3-0 she lost the set 4-6.

She starts as strong favourite on Betfair against Li at 1.29 . They have played twice in 2012 and Azarenka won both but each match went to 3 sets. I think we have a real chance of seeing a much higher price on her today. Both are playing well although Li was helped yesterday by Kerber being fatigued.

I will wait for a higher price above 1.60 on Azarenka as she needs the win also to get through to the semi finals on top of that number 1 rank. Li can also make the semis with a win but I think she has an uphill battle today.

    Trading Guide