Friday 9th August 2013

Just a short post today. Burning the candle at both ends is sapping my energy levels and I am having a few hours without being glued to the screens.  It has been a great week all round with the Shark tips and Wins a Set services both delivering for the subscribers and a pretty stress free week on my own trading with a good return.

 

Home player Pospisil beat Berdych yesterday. He has also beaten Stepanek who knocked out Almagro and He beat Isner who is usually poor after playing a final the week before.

Is the market getting carried away by having Pospisil as favourite against Davydenko? The Russian isn’t having a bad week himself. He took advantage of Simon being ill to win their first round match. He also put an end to Bogomolov’s unlikely run of wins.

Davydenko is so hard to trust these days so I suppose Pospisil might deserve to be at evens. What needs to be taken into consideration on top of a possible let down after the Berdych win is that he has played a lot of tennis in the last couple of weeks. He won the Challenger tournament in Vancouver last week.

There are just too many unknowns to make any confident prediction pre match. I doubt I will be trading this one but will look to see if I can get any insight from the first few games.  TradesharkTennis members can get my in play view in the chatroom.

 

Cibulkova hasn’t beaten Li Na in 3 previous attempts.  She is in great form although I think she was helped by a poor Vinci performance last night.

Li Na is playing her first tournament since reaching the Wimbledon Quarter final and has managed a couple of decent wins over Pavlyuchenkova and Ivanovic.

This should be a swingy match but as long as Cibulkova has enough energy left I fancy her to take her first win over Li.

Layng both players a break ahead isn’t a bad plan to start with.

 

Cirstea has had a good summer so far but I think Kvitova will end her run for this week. Cirstea beat Jankovic in straight sets last night having gone a break behind early.

Kvitova beat Stosur in straight sets in a week where I expected the Aussie to make an early exit following a rare tournament win last week.

Kvitova leads the head to heads 3-1 but only 1 was in the last couple of seasons. That was on clay and went to 3 sets. Both players play their best tennis on the hard courts. They like to hit the ball hard which can look impressive but I feel Kvitova looks so dangerous when she chooses to play with controlled aggression.

Stats for the last month favour Kvitova but Cirstea has maintained her stats over a greater number of matches which gives them a little more weight. I am favouring Kvitova but her starting price of 1.45 is bordering on madness when Cirstea recent performance are taken into consideration.

1.70 gets my interest.

 

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