Indian Wells 2013 – week 2, Friday

Djokovic has won the last 7 matches that he has payed against Tsonga and leads the head to heads 9-6.

Tsonga’s best chance to take a set is to  serve at his best and take the tie break. Even if he manages it once I really can’t see him getting a second set.

1.13 on Djokovic can only be a lay but I’m not sure anyone really gives the Frenchman  much chance here.

Update: Very easy win for Djokovic 6-3, 6-1.

 

You don’t often see Murray start at 1.50 but against Del Potro it’s warranted. Murray leads the head to heads 5-1 though they haven’t played since 2009.

Murray hasn’t been at his best so far but like the other top players he often does just enough against the lower ranked opponents.

I think we are bound to see Murray trading higher than 1.50 . Del Potro has been in great form so far and don’t be fooled by him strolling around looking lethargic. When the ball’s in play he will be totally focused.

This is a tough one for Murray but his greater consistency will get him through. I expect him to deal well with Del Potro’s big serve.

Update: Not one of Murray’s better days. He didn’t get close to Del Potro’s serve and had to work very hard in some of his own service games.The set went to a tie break and probably against  form Murray took it.

Murray was broken immediately in the second set. Del Potro hung on to take the set.

In the third Murray’s fight more or less disappeared.

Del Potro won 6-7, 6-3, 6-1.

 

Will the women bother to turn up today?  Hard to pick a winner between Wozniacki and Kerber but I am on  the side of the German. She has won her last 3 matches against Woz and she seems to be over her recent injury.

Woz starts as favourite at 1.80 and I will look to lay her below 1.50 .

Update: A great start from Kerber gave her a 4-0 lead. She took the set but was eventually broken in a tighter second set.

Woznicki won a late break to take the deciding set.

Wozniacki won 2-6, 6-4, 7-5.

 

Kirilenko is playing at a higher level than I have ever seen from her. Her serve is much more reliable and she is losing the reputation of being a choker.

Sharapova has beaten her in their last 2 matches including a 3 setter in last year’s Indian Wells.

Sharapova’s SP of 1.25 has to be too low and is worth a lay although I will hold out for 1.15. I think it will be a minor shock if Kiri wins.

Update: A single break in the first set and 2 late breaks in the second gave Sharapova the win.

Sharapova won 6-4, 6-3.

    Trading Guide

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