Indian Wells 2013 – week 2, Monday

Kerber has been in a poor run of form before this week. She claims she was injured and that she came back to the tour before being fully recovered.

In her first match of this tournament she seemed to be in better shape and dealt easily with Begu in straight sets.

Today she plays Wickmayer. The head to heads are 1-1 with both matches going to 3 sets. In both cases the player losing the first set won the match.

If Wickmayer  can serve well I think Kerber will trade wel above her SP of 1.35. You could lay Kerber but I feel its safer to wait for a higher price before backing her. Anything over 1.70 will get my  interest.

Update: A very fast start from Kerber and my hope of 1.70 was looking like an impossible dream. The set was soon over. In the second set Wickmayer made more of a match of it as Kerber began to make more errors. The set was settled in a tie break which kerber took.

Kerber won 6-1, 7-6.

 

Gilles Simon starts as favourite against fellow Frenchman Paire. However its Paire that has won both their previous meetings.

Simon made a terrible start to his previous match against Lorenzi and was soon a double break down. Simon pulled himself together and rattled off the next 6 games to take the set. The match went to a third set and Lorenzi took a 5-1 lead but once again Simon woon 6 straight games to take the match.

Paire came back from a set down against Kubot in the first round and then knocked out a rusty Kohlscreiber in round 2.

Simon rarely wins his matches in a straight forward fashion and I don’t expect it to be any different today. I do expect him to record his fist win over Paire but not before trading higher than SP. I will look to lay Paire at 1.70 or lower.

Update: Did I really stay up to watch this garbage? The first set was more like WTA with both (allegedly) professional tennis players barely able to geta  first serve in the court. I laid Paire when Simon had 3 break points in the very first game. he then held serve and broke Simon so it was a decent price swing. I laid Paire at 1.66 and Simon broke!

Paire was looking slightly stronger so I left most of the green on him but I was in no rush to get involved too much as neither player could keep the momentum. Paire took the set.

Set 2 continued the same way with Simon going up a break but he was unable to hang on to it for very long.

Simon took the second set in atie break and then took a tight third set. Tight but not quality.

Simon won 3-6, 7-6, 6-4.

    Trading Guide

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