Indian Wells – Wednesday

19:00 – Radwanska v Dementieva

 

Rankings are 8 and 7. Head to heads are 3-2 to Radwanska. Radwanska won their last match which was in 2009.

 

Dementieva was taken to 3 sets in her second round match but Radwanska is yet to lose a set.

 

This should be a close match and is ideal for scalping and 15-40.

 

I give a slight edge to Radwanska.

 

 Update: Radwanska won 6-4, 6-3.

 

I couldn’t trade this one as i was ties up in another game but someone in the chatroom said there were plenty of breaks and 15-40 opportunites.

 

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22:00 – Troicki v Berdych

 

Rankings are 35 and 25. Head to heads are 1-0 to Troicki which was in this tournament last year.

 

Troicki will be well rested as both his opponents this week have retired. Davydenko pulled out before their match and Cuevas quit after just 1 game. This may also mean that he isn’t quite as sharp as today’s opponent.

 

Berdych had a surprisingly easy win over Verdasco in the last round.

 

Berdych wins 88% of his service games to Troicki’s 79%.

 

This should be an even match although I feel Berdych has shown slightly better recent form.

 

An ideal match to back Berdych on serve.

 

Update: Berdych was on fire! Troicki’s lack of match practice this week didn’t help his chances but I don’t think it would have made a difference.

 

Berdych won 6-1, 6-3.  This was one of the rare games that I let the back bet on the first set winner run into the second set as he was so much on top. He took an early 2-0 lead in the second set and I was able to green out at 1.03.

    Trading Guide

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