WTA Bronx Open, New York: Pera v Strycova
Due to start at 5:30 pm
Pera 2.30, Strycova 1.75
Barbora Strycova won their only previous meeting. That was at the Australian Open in January 2018. She won in straight sets on a hard court.
Their overall results are quite even in the last 12 months and in 2019. Bernarda Pera has a small edge on hard courts.
Pera easily beat Kudermetova in the last round. She was the underdog but lost just 2 games. She had lost to Kudermetova last week in straight sets. Most of her hard court wins in 2019 have been in qualifying rounds. She reached the second round at the US Open last year so is perhaps more interested in having a decent run this week.
Strycova reached the 3rd round at the US Open last year. Her best hard court result this season was a 3rd round in Doha in February. She has had some tough opponents in the hard court tournaments since then. Last week she lost in the qualifying rounds but was given a Lucky Loser place in the main draw where she lost to Kasatkina in 2 sets
We have some value on Pera and I think this goes to 3 sets. Lay Strycova around 1.40 to 1.50 and remove liability at 1.95. I give Pera the edge to win.
Update: Good recovery from Pera from losing set 1. She won 3-6, 6-2, 6-1.
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