Free Tennis Trading Tip, 4th January 2022

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WTA Adelaide, first round
Badosa v Azarenka
Due to start at 10 am

Badosa 1-0. (Oct 2021, hard, 3rd set tie break).

Both players won 19 of 28 matches on hard last season. Overall win %’s favour Badosa.

Badosa reached the q finals at the Olympics and also the q finals in Cincinnati in Aug. She won her first WTA1000 title in Indian Wells in October, beating Azarenka in the final.

Azarenka reached 3rd rounds in Chicago, the US Open and Cincinnati. She reached the US Open final in 2020.

Very good chance of 3 sets but I favour Badosa to win. Lay Azarenka around 1.65 and remove liab at 2.20. Lay set 1 winner.

Update: Not a great first match of the season for Badosa. Her priced drifted pre match so maybe there was a rumour of a minor injury. Her price went up to around 2.10 when Azarenka held serve. Badosa then held and broke the Azarenka serve. The next 3 games were also breaks. Azarenka got another break to take the set.

Azarenka was too good on the day although Badosa was well below her best. She was broken twice in set 2.

Azarenka won 6-4, 6-2.

   
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