May 2nd 2012

Dodig v Seppi:

They have played just once before which was in October 2010 on a hard court. Seppi won that match in 3 sets.

Dodig’s last few matches on clay haven’t been impressive. He has a great deal of ability and its frustrating when he doesn’t deliver consistently. He did take Verdasco to 3 sets in Monte Carlo although he folded in the third set losing it 6-1.

In his last match he seemed to be in control against Ungur and took the opening set easily enough. But as usual his concentration faltered and he lost the second set ina  tie break.

Towards the end of last year Seppi was playing great tennis on the hard courts. He is probably more at home on the clay. So often he starts slowly and puts himself under pressure but seems to get stronger as the match progresses.

This match favours Seppi which is reflected in the starting price of 1.47 but because of his frequent slow starts I will hold off for a better price. We have live video for this one on Betfair and bet365 so we can have a look at their games before getting involved.

Seppi doesn’t often start well against decent opposition so I am hopeful of getting him at 1.70 or better. Then i will rely on him being the better clay courter and being in superior recent form than Dodig.

 

Cetkovska v Watson:

This is their first meeting and Cetkovska starts as favourite at 1.45 on Betfair.

Cetkovska’s form is all over the place at the moment, mainly due to her problems with her serve. She did reach the quarter finals last week but her loss to Johansson ( who admittedly played some pretty decent tennis at times) showed up the frailty of Cetkovska’s current game.

Watson on the other hand is playign well and beat Hradecka  in straight sets in the first round. She had to come through the qualifying rounds where she beat Sloane Stephens in 3 sets from being a set down.

If Cetkovska plays to her ability and manages a respectable performance on serve then she should be too strong for Watson. The problem is that she can’t be relied upon to do that. I will watch the opening games to have a look at how the serve is going. If she is serving well I will select a decent price to back her but if she seems uncomfortable at the line it is worth laying her. Watson seems to be playing the more consistent tennis at the moment but as we know things can change very quickly in women’s tennis!

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