Pavlyuchenkova has never taken a set from Ivanovic on a hard court. The only time Pav has taken it to 3 sets in their 4 matches was their last meeting which was on clay last year.
Pavlyuchenkova’s serve has improved a great deal this season and whilst i don’t expect her to win the match i think she will be able to push ivanovic’s price higher that the Sp of 1.44 .
Pavlyuchenkova reached the final in Brisbane although has lost he next 2 matches in 3 sets to Wickmayer and Tsurenko.
Ivanovic has has had an average start to the season but reached the 4th round in Melbourne and the 3rd round last week.
I will wait for a higher price on Ivanovic during the first half of the opening set.
Update: Ivanovic broke immediately so no early price rise. She took the set fairly comfortably and was leading by a double break in the sdecond set before having a problem with her shoulder. Pav pulled back to a tie break but Ivanovic took it.
Ivanovic won 6-3, 7-6.