Davydenko is a strong favourite to beat Dodig but his starting price is too low at 1.37 . Dodig is better on hard courts and has lost 7 of his last 8 on clay.
They have only played once before which was at the 2011 US Open. Davydenko won in 5 sets. Davy is a much better clay courter. I want over 1.60 .
Update: Dodig served well and it looked like Davy had a bad day at the office.
Dodig won 6-4, 6-4.
Laura Robson hasn’t been in the best form but starts as favourite against Morita at 1.73 .
Morita’s form hasn’t been any better. I think we will see a few swings in this match but I expect Robson to win.
Morita’s consistency is one of her strengths and Robson will need her serve to be better than we have seen lately. She has stronger ground strokes and if she can start the match well her confidence will grow.
I’d like to back Robson above evens which we should see in the early games as the market tries to work out who is stronger on the day.
Update: Another bad match from the service line from Robson. She needs to turn this around or her ranking will plumet.
Morita won 6-2, 7-5.
Muller is pretty poor on clay. His opponent today is Roger Vasselin who has been in decent form. Muller’s serve is a huge part of his game and the slower surface reduces its effectiveness.
Roger Vasselin starts at 1.43 . As usual SP offers no value but if we get 1.65 to 1.70 then its worth backing Vasselin. I expect him to be the more consistent and Muller will get frustrated when he can’t hit through him.
Update: Muller had an MTO during the opening set and retired after the set was complete.
Roger Vasselin won 6-1 (ret)