Monday 8th April 2013

It was a quiet weekend trading wise for me but a busy family one.  It’s unusual for me not to post for the whole weekend but time just didn’t allow.

 

A lot of clay about this week. Clay courts usually bring more breaks of serve including the ATP matches. There are qualifying rounds being played this morning. I picked the right one to go for the lay as Peer lost in straight sets and went 0-4 down in the first set. Glad I didn’t go with the lay of Cadantu ( which I was looking to do) as she won 6-0, 6-0!

 

Robson is slight favourite on Betfair against Dominguez Lino but her form is pretty erratic at present and the transition to the red clay won’t be made an easier by Lino ( last week’s blue clay was more like a slow hard court IMO). I am favouring Lino for the win. I suspect the market will be biased towards Robson so we have a decent chance of a lay below 1.60 .

Update: Robson was broken in the very first game but immediately broke back. She won a tight set with a late break. In the second set Lino was again a break up but couldn’t hold on to it. She took the set in a long tie break.

As she has done several times this year Robson fell apart and delivered her 4th 1-6 third set of 2013.

Lino won 5-7, 7-6, 6-1.

 

Martic has a slightly better pedigree on the clay to Svitolina. She reached the 4th round of the French Open last year. Unfortunately she hasn’t won a match since October and her confidence must be at rock bottom.

Svitolina reached the semi final of a clay court Challenger in February and in January won an ITF event ( on hard courts).

Svitolina starts at 1.67 but I think we will see a few swings in this one. Svitolina should  come through in the end. A lay of Martic below 1.65 would be nice.

Update: Svitolina took the first set in a tie break. However it was Martic who took control of the next 2 sets.

Martic won 6-7, 6-3, 6-2.

    Trading Guide

5 thoughts on “Monday 8th April 2013”

  1. Hi Paul,

    Agree with you on Robson, Dominguez Lino should get enough balls back on clay to frustrate Robson into some errors. Will look to lay Robson when ahead.

    I also agree with you on Martic. She is the better player, however Svitolina is very competent on clay and Martic has had a bad run. Apparently Martic has been working very hard on her game recently.

    I layed Svitolina @1.30 when she was up in the tiebreak – hoping for at least 3 sets here.

    1. Hi Steve,

      Looks like we laid Svitolina about the same time. Looking good so far but will level after this set.

  2. Any thoughts on Robredo v Rufin Paul?

    Would have thought anything above 1.60 on Robredo looks pretty good.

    1. Saw the comment too late. I have Robredo as a betting tip but Ruffin serving too well so far

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