11:30 – Robredo v Troicki
Rankings are 29 and 16. Head to heads are 2-1 to Robredo ( 1-1 on clay )
Robredo has put his poor form behind him and is back near his best. Verdasco helped him a great deal yesterday but Robredo put him under pressure from the first game. He is supremely consistent at the moment and confidence is high.
Troicki started well against Fognini but whilst Fognini is in decent form himself the Serb should have been able to finish him in straight sets. Any lapses in concentration should be punished by his opponent today.
In the last 6 months both have held serve over 80% of the time but if you look at only matches on clay Troicki’s percentage drops to 62%. Troicki has better stats on return of serve although I often get frustrated when trading his matches as when he has a chance to put pressure on the server he goes for the big spectacular winner rather than keeping the ball in play.
On current form I have to go with Robredo.
I’ll be backing him with half stake from the start and look to add the rest once he has shown he is on top. If he struggles in the early games a half stake back allows me to keep any red figure under control.
Update: The match didn’t start well with Robredo being broken in the very first game. He broke back immediately and Troicki was never really in contention. In the second set it was going with serve when Robredo called for the medic in the middle of a game. He received treatment for a leg injury. He continued with the game but a few minutes later he retired.
Troicki won 3-6, 2-1(retired)
15:30 – Melzer v Almagro
Rankings are 9 and 12. Head to heads are 2-1 to Melzer although Almagro won their only previous match on clay.
Melzer came back from the dead yesterday. He was his usual poor self in the first set and towards the end of it looked like he may quit when he had to take a rest due to a fast heart beat. With everyone thinking he was going to quit he came back to take the next 2 sets and play some much improved tennis.
Almagro faced match point against Maximo Gonzalez in their third set tie break so he may feel lucky to be still in the tournament. I think that is bad news for Melzer as the Spaniard will be boosted by coming through such a close match.
Will Melzer have heart problems again today? He didn’t seem too concerned when it happened yesterday which suggests its an on going condition. He seemed fine in the 2nd and third sets.
Almagro definately has the better pedigree on the dirt courts and won’t make the mistakes that Haase did yesterday to allow Melzer to get back into the game and gain some confidence.
Almagro has won 20 of his last 21 matches on clay. Back Almagro from the start.
Update: I didn’t watch this match as it started about the same time as the IPL match. Melzer took the first set easily. In the second set Almagro got an early break but Melzer drew level and broke at the end to take the match.
Melzer won 6-1, 6-4.