WTA Wimbledon, Women’s Final: S. Williams v Halep

Due to start at 2 pm

Serena Williams 1.59, Simona Halep 2.68

Serena leads their previous matches 9-2. The last time they met was at the Australian Open in January. Serena won in 3 sets. She has won their last 5 matches. All those were on hard. She won on grass at Wimbledon in 2011, 3 sets. One of Simona’s wins was by walkover!

Their overall win percentages in the last 12 months are quite even but Simona has played more matches. Both have excellent grass results in the last year. Long term grass results are better for Serena. Serena has better service hold stats for the tournament but other stats favour Simona.

Serena reached 2 slam finals last year but lost both including the straight sets loss to Kerber at Wimbledon. She also reached the final at the Australian Open in 2017 losing to her sister in 2 sets. She must be getting frustrated at losing her last 3 slam finals as she needs 1 more win to equal the record held by Margaret Court. She looked very focused in the semi final and breezed past Strycova. Despite her claiming that she is not interested in equalling the record number of slam wins she really wants her 24th title. She may get tight if she gets into a winning position.

 

Simona Halep was also comfortable in the semi final with one of her best performances of the tournament. Svitolina didn’t hold serve in the 1st set. She finally won her first slam title at the French Open in 2018. She made a slow start to the tournament but improved against Azarenka in the third round.

I think we have a chance of 3 sets but I have to favour Serena to win. Back Serena around 1.90 or wait for her to be broken before backing. Lay Serena if she gets the first break in the match.

 

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