Fognini v Dodig:
They have never played each other. The winner of this match will meet Djokovic in the next round. Something to look forward to for them.
Across the course of the season Fognini must have one of the least reliable serves in the top 50, holding less than 70% of his service games. Dodig holds 77%
Dodig hasn’t been getting many wins lately but losses to Nalbandian ( twice), Wawrinka and Giraldo and a win over Monaco are hardly disastrous.
Fognini has been has played some very typical tennis for him. Sometimes amazing, sometimes not caring, always unpredictable.
I think they are close enough on current form to expect that their prices should be nearer evens so Dodig’s price looks too short at 1.57 . That has to be a lay for me.
Chardy v Granollers:
Yesterday Chardy was as low as 1.73 . I can only imagine this is due to Granoller’s title win at the weekend added to the fact that he is playing a Frenchman at home. Now I underestimated the home advantage when choosing my punting tips yesterday with 2 Frenchies screwing things up for me. Mannarino beating Ferrero in straight sets and Benneteau finding the energy to come back from a set down against Raonic.
Granollers will no doubt be tired from his exertions last week and I am trying to ignore the last match Chardy played. He was clearly giving the match away against Lajovic but the previous week he had reached the semi finals of the Kremlin Cup beating Kohlschreiber and Dolgopolov on the way. He was understandably not very motivated to play another long week.
Chardy’s price is now 1.93 so punters seem to think Granollers may be able to find the energy to win this one. However i am going with home advantage and will start with a small back on Chardy. I will monitor how the players look at the start of the match and manage the trades from there.
I think Granollers will be more than happy with his season and won’t be at all disappointed to have a rest this week.