Saturday’s matches

Bogomolov v Tipsarevic:

Bogomolov won their only previous match but that was back in 2004.

Tipsarevic, like many favourites this week, started slowly in his last match. he was making more errors than Starace and it was no surprise when the Italian won the tie break. After that Tipsarevic started to play as we expect him to and took the next 2 sets easily.

Bogomolov finished off Lajovic in straight sets this time having been taken to 3 sets last week. It wasn’t an overly impressive performance though and he will have to drastically step up his play to give Tipsarevic many problems.

Tipsarevic starts at 1.32 but we don’t know if he will start slowly again. He has started to win tournaments in recent weeks and as I have said before winning becomes a habit.

One or two unforced errors from Tipsarevic can soon give us a slightly better price and I will be waiting for that. I don’t see anything other than injury preventing him from reaching another final.

Update: The match is still in the first set with Tips a break up. I had changed my mind and wasn’t really going to trade this one properly and was watching the Coronation Street Omnibus! I thought a punt on Tips would be interesting and backed at the start After 1 game Tipsarevic called for the trainer and had an MTO. His price went up to around 1.60 and I figured as it was so early in the match if he quit it was likely to be in the first set. I added a little to my back bets.

Tipsarevic came back out and almost broke serve. In Bogomolov’s next service he did manage the break and I greened up. He was broken himself the very next game so i backed him again. He obliged with another break and I decided to stop pushing my luck and take the bonus 🙂

Tipsarevic won 6-2, 6-1.

 

Kvitova v Stosur:

Kvitova leads the head to heads 2-0 and has been in great form this week. Having said that she started terribly in her last match against Radwanska and was 1-4 down. She just didn’t seem worried at all and was laughing at the changeover with her coach. It was easy to think she was saving energy for later matches. Then she became the player who had hit Wozniacki off the court and came back to beat Radwanska in straight sets.

Stosur has had the easier group and she has won 2 of her 3 matches. She lost against Azarenka winning just 4 games.

Its really hard to see Stosur beating Kvitova based on this week’s form. Both will try to hit the other off the court but I expect Kvitova to come through.

She starts at 1.36 which is definitely too low. The will be a lot of price fluctuations in this one so I will be looking for at least 1.80 before backing Kvitova.

Update: Kvitova broke in the first game  so it din’t look hopeful for a higher back price. However Stosur came back and won the set with a late break.

Kvitova took the next 2 sets to win 5-7, 6-3, 6-3.

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