Shanghai Masters – Mon

09:00 – Gasquet v Ferrer

Rankings are 53 and 19. Head to heads are 4-1 to Ferrer.

Gasquet’s ranking doesn’t reflect his true position and I expect this to be quite close.

Ferrer wins 77% of his service games and has a slightly higher first serve percentage than his opponent.  Back Ferrer on serve.

I would expect Gasquet to keep the first set close and tie breaks wouldn’t be a surprise.

Update: Ferrer won 6-4, 6-3

 

11:00 – Stepanek v Ferrero

Rankings are 16 and 20. Head to heads are 2-1 to Stepanek although they haven’t played for 3 years.

Service stats are very similar. First serves are 61% and 67%. Service games won are 79%/80% and both men save 62% of break points against them.

The market has them pretty much even and it’s difficult to pick a winner. I’m slightly favouring Stepanek on recent form.

Back Stepanek on serve. If you are comfortable backing both players’  serves then this match is suitable.

Update: Stepanek won 6-3, 6-0 . I didn’t follow the match but that suggests that Ferrero had a problem. Way too one sided.

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