20:00 – Ferrer v Fish
Rankings are 6 and 15. Head to heads are 3-3. Only 2 of their previous matches have been in straight sets.
Ferrer hasn’t lost a set so far but to be fair his opponents have been poor. He wasn’t all that impressive against Devvarman but often if the other guy isn’t performing well its easy to just do enough to win.
Fish has had the more impressive run to this stage. He also hasn’t lost a set but has beaten Del Potro ( or “DelPo” to his irritating fans ) and Gasquet. Del potro seemed to be struggling a little with his fitness and Gasquet was below his best but we have seen some great play from the American. He has improved his serving although I would like to see a higher percentage of first serves in.
Fish has said that the courts play faster during the day. As night comes in the humidity slows the ball down. They are playing early which favours the American.
Ferrer is supremely fit as most claycourt specialists are and he will try to wear Fish down with long rallies. Fish will get a boost from the home crowd who i expect to increase the volume for the quarter final.
Fish moves to 11 in the world if he wins this match. More incentive. Home advantage. GSM Fish. It should be a great match though and will go to 3 sets.
I think an early lay of Ferrer at 1.54 is the way to go and laying the first set winner.
Update: Both started well and it really could have gone either way. At 5-5 Fish managed to get the break and served out the set. I layed at 1.51 and hedged at 3.00 after he took the set so a very nice swing of 149 ticks.
I layed him at 1.49 in the second set but Ferrer wasn’t looking too good and when he went 15-30 down in the third game I hedged out at 1.37. I advised I was doing so in the chatroom. This proved to be a good move as Fish broke and then ran away with the second set. You don’t often see Ferrer fold like that.
Fish won 7-5, 6-2.