Verdasco against Granollers certainly wasn’t the final I was expecting. Both came through 3 set matches in the semi’s against higher ranked opponents.
Verdasco will start as favourite although he is well below his best at the moment. Granollers hasn’t been spectacular and at times against a poor Youzhny he was giving points away for fun. However he has stayed in rallies when it mattered and has served generally very well.
As its a final its tough to call. I didn’t see the third set of verdasco’s match with Almagro but from what i have read Almagro wasn’t busting a gut to win the match. I’ll start with a lay of Verdasco and manage the position in play. He has more experience in the big games than granollers so i would expect him to come through a tight match. Granollers has a terrible record against other Spaniards and hasn’t beaten a top 50 Spaniard in 11 attempts.
Update: Granollers won 6-4, 3-6, 6-3.
Cilic takes on Dolgopolov in the Croatian Open Final.
Cilic easily beat Fognini in the semis and his form seems to have peaked at the right time. Dolgopolov was hitting some amazing winners against Ferrero and will continue to go for them in this match. He is a little erratic at times. If its his day he hits the lines. If not he hits the line judges.
This match will be decided by who serves best. Cilic has improved his serve since that terrible first round match. If Dolgopolov is able to increase his first serve percentage then he is slight favourite to take this. Cilic was still playing doubles after midnight local time which hasn’t done his prep for this match much good.
Cilic has found a way to win his matches so far but if Dolgopolov keeps hitting the lines as he did against Ferrero then I can see him winning the title.
However my head says that Cilic takes it. Dolgo is unlikely to repeat his form from yesterday and he has a bad record in finals. This is Cilic’s best result already at his home tournament and he will be going all out to win in front of his home crowd.
Update: Dolgopolov won 6-4, 3-6, 6-3.
Fish had an odd match with Harrison last night. he won the first set 6-0, then lost the second set and needed a tie break to win the match in the third. His opponent in the final is, surprisingly Ernests Gulbis. Gulbis has found some form at last and after losing the firsts et of his first round match against malisse he hasn’t dropped another set beating Del Potro along the way.
Fish has played a lot of tennis recently winning in Atlanta lst week and yesterday’s form suggests his legs are heavy. Gulbis has a chance to be one of the most unexpected title winners of the season. and I will lay Fish from the start.
Update: Gulbis won 5-7, 6-4, 6-4.