Lots of potentially great matches today. Lets see if we can figure out which way they’re going.
Monfils seems a little short priced at first glance against Dodig. Dodig struggled to get to grips with the serve of Riba in the last round so he isn’t going to have an easier day today! Monfils has been serving well and appears to be taking his tennis more seriously. He always fought hard but he could break his own concentration by acting the fool.
He may trade a little higher in the first set but I expect a straight sets win for the Frenchman.
Update: Monfis broke in the very first game and it was a one sided match 6-2, 6-3.
Anderson and Roddick’s game has tie breaks written all over it. They played each other on a hard court in January and it went to 3 sets, (none of them anywhere near tie break! ) but grass makes the serve more potent. If the first set is just an exchange of serves then we could see Roddick’s price rise as we near the end of the set. You have to expect him to come through though and favourites have been winning the majority of matches so far this week. Maybe a half stake on Roddick from the start. Be careful with this one as matches on grass between two big servers get the market panicking after a break and the over reaction can be exaggerated.
Update: Roddick won 6-4, 6-4.
Verdasco v Nalbandian: Nalbandian is a little rusty after his return from injury and Verdasco has been playing a lot better. I think if Verdasco can hold his serve together he will take this. He seems to want to win a little more than he has shown in recent months and a confident Verdasco can play some amazing tennis. Nalbandian has dealt with the 2 opponents placed infront of him so far but they were nothing special. However those matches will have helped a little to get back in the swing. I expect Verdasco to take this.
Update: Verdasco won 7-5, 6-1.
Tsonga seems a great price against Llodra at 1.41 as he has been playing more like the Tsonga we know and love. Llodra will try to serve and volley but Tsonga will be able to play passing shots all day long.
Update: Llodra retired at 3-4 in the first set.
Cilic and Bellucci met on a hard court this year and it was a very tight encounter with Cilic winning in 3 sets. Cilic’s serve was far from impenetrable against Clement and Bellucci needed a third set tie break to get past Ilhan so I expect today’s match to be very close. Slight edge to Cilic but he needs to improve his consistency on serve.
Update: Cilic won 7-6, 0-6, 6-3