Tuesday 10th September 2013

A great final last night! In the early part of the third set it looked like Djokovic was stepping up but Nadal got back the break and broke again to crush the Serb’s spirit.

That brought another win for the tips service which has seen just 4 losses in the last 16 picks. The current month has started well with an ROI of 11%.

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I watched a couple of the WTA matches yesterday and the standard was pretty appalling. Let’s hope it improves a bit today or it might be a very short trading session.

The Tashkent matches have been mostly too early for me although I may have a go on the Doi v Rodina match at 11.00

 

In Quebec Sadikovic had a good win over Grace Min in straight sets to reach the main draw. The last time she won a main draw match was actually at this tournament back in 2009 when she beat Puchkova in straight sets but then lost to a qualifier in the second round.

Karatantcheva has had some tough draws this season with Serena, Halep, Safarova and Schiavone being the type of players she has faced. She starts as a 1.55 favourite today and whilst I’d prefer a higher price on her I do expect her to win. She may need 3 sets.

 

Flipkens is defending champion this week and faces Hercog in her first match. Hercog played quite well in Cincinnati but often can’t produce her clay form on the faster surfaces. She has a poor indoor record and has lost her last 6 indoors.

Unless Flipkens has a nightmare from the service line I’d expect her to get the job done here. Wait for a higher entry than her SP of 1.43 .

 

Zahlavova Strycova is rightly favourite against Daniilidou who hasn’t won a main draw match since February. I’d need a higher price though before backing any of these women in the first round.

 

Safarova has been well below her best in recent weeks and I’m in no rush to back her at 1.40 this evening. Everything rests on her serve against Tatishvili and I want to see how that is working before backing her. I think she will come through this one ok but it won’t be pretty. A price above 1.70 will get my interest

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