Tuesday 24th April 2012

Brands v Dodig:

They have played just once before which was 4 years ago. Dodig won in 3 sets on an indoor hard court.

last year Dodig reached the semi finals in Barcelona. Perhaps he feels he has more chance of defending those points in Bucharest as its a weaker field.

Brands has had to come through qualification to get to the main draw. He came through without losing a set but the level of his opponents was pretty poor. Brands has a great serve but his return game isn’t up to the same standard. As someone who relies on the serve to get him cheap points he struggles on the clay when facing a decent opponent. He has had a few wins on the dirt recently but all against much weaker opponents. As soon as he meets a quality player he loses.

Dodig can be frustrating to back. However he has played just 2 clay court matches in 2012 which were a win over Ljubicic and a 3 sets loss to Verdasco.

I feel Dodig is the better all round player on this surface and will come through in 2 tight sets. Part stake on him at the start and i will add the rest once I see he is lpaying well and controlling the match.


Czink v Cetkovska:

Czink has come through qualifying to reach this stage. She won both her matches easily but both were against lower ranked opponents. She has had just 1 win over a higher ranked player on clay this season which was over Dubois who was ranked 90 at the time.

Cetkovska has played just 1 event on clay in 2012 which was Barcelona earlier this month. She lost in the second round to Suarez Navarro having beaten Peer in 3 sets in the first round. She had some success on the ITF circuit last year with a final  and a quarter final on clay.  She also reached the semi finals in Palermo on the main WTA tour losing to Medina Garrigues.

If Cetkovska is on her game she should win this one easily but as with all the women she is capable of throwing in a few bad service games. She starts at 1.51 on Betfair which seems a fair starting price but I will hold off to get her at a higher price. Anything over 1.80 will get my interest. 


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