US Open 2012 – The Draw

The draw can be found at http://www.usopen.org/en_US/scores/draws/index.html

 

Men’s Draw

Section 1 contains Federer who will be concerned at his first round opponent. Donald Young has recently broken his extensive losing run with a win over Leonardo Mayer and now has the world number 1 spot as his next career target. If Fed scrapes through he will probably meet Verdasco in the third round.

Fish and Simon could meet in the second round which should be a decent fight. My money’s on Fish.

Berdych and Querrey are on target to meet again in the third round. Their semi final this week was a tight one with Berdych coming through in 2 close sets. If Berdych wins that match up again it’s likely to be Almagro he meets in round 4.  To get that far Almagro has a couple of tugh matches to come through with Petzschner and Florian Mayer standing in his path.

Predicted quarter final: Federer v Berdych.

 

Section 2 finds Andy Murray looking to reach his second US Open final. This year he is safe up to he 4th round with  Bogomolov, Dodig and Bellucci unlikely to trouble him. The 4th round will probably see him meet Raonic which won’t be an easy match but it would be a massive shock if Murray didn’t take it.

I can see James Blake reaching the third round where he is likely to play Raonic. He won’t be without his chances but as I said above I think the Canadian will go through.

This section also includes Tsonga who also looks safe up to the 4th round. Once there he will meet either Cilic or Nishikori which is a tough one to call. Cilic is favourite for me.

So if I am right we will see Murray v Raonic and Tsonga v Cilic in the 4th round.

Predicted quarter final: Murray v Tsonga.

 

Section 3 belongs to David Ferrer. His form has dipped recently. His first round opponent is Kevin Anderson who should get the Spaniard warmed up but shouldn’t give him too many headaches.  His second round will be a walk in the park with a likely opponent being Gimeno Traver. Things get more interesting in the third round as he meets the winner of the Hewitt/Youzhny match. They met recently with the Ozzie wnning comfortably. I expect Youzhny to get a little revenge.

At the other end of this section Tipsarvic looks strong though he has a potentially trickysecond round encounter with Brian Baker. His likely 3rd round opponent will be Troicki.

Kohlschreiber and Dimitrov should have a geat battle in round 2 with the German going through. Once there he should be playing Isner unless Nieminen pulls off a surprise win.

Tommy Haas has been superb in recent weeks and has had the rest that he needed prior to this tournament. His first round opponent is Gulbis. Haas will tear him a new one and I don’t expect Rajeev Ram to cause an upset in the second round.  That would set Haas against the winner of the Gasquet/Melzer match. Melzer is capable of winning that one if he hits top form but we have seen few signs of that happening lately.

The fourth round matches aren’t straight forward to predict. If I am right we will have Tipasrevic v Isner and Haas v Ferrer.

Predicted quarter final: Tipsarevic v Haas.

 

Section 4 has defending champion Djokovic who starts with an easy one against Lorenzi. His second round doesn’t get much harder with the winner from the Dutra Silva/Gabashvilli unlikely to take a set from the Serb. Benneteau will put Djokovic under a lot more pressure and it won’t be a surprise to see the Frenchman take a set in round 3.

The rest of the section is a little less certain. Del Potro will be tested in the first round when he plays fellow Argentinian Nalbandian. If he makes it through that one his 2nd and 3rd rounds look more straight forward with Becker and Seppi being opponents he would expect to beat comfortably.

Roddick and Tomic are likely to meet in the second round for a battle of the big serving clowns. Roddick is most likely to come through it to meet Monaco. My money’s on Monaco to reach the 4th round.

Dolgopolov plays Baghdatis in the second round assuming Baghdatis’ recent injury allows him to get past Bachinger. Dolgopolov is favourite there and will go through to meet the winner of the Darcis/Wawrinka game. Both players have shown good form in the last couple of weeks but Wawrinka is more able to close out matches.

This gives us a likely 4th round line up of Del Potro v Monaco and Dogopolov v Djokovic.

Predicted quarter final: Del Potro v Djokovic

 

Women’s Draw

Section 1 has Azarenka. I don’t see any problems for her before the 4th round. Who she will meet there isn’t easy to predict. It really should be Goerges although she could have problems with Lisicki in the third round.

The rest of this section has Britain’s Laura Robson who will expect to beat home player Samantha Crawford in the first round. If she does then she will meet Kim Clijsters which will be a huge test for her. If Kim is fit you have to expect her to beat Robson but I expect the Brit to give a good account of herself.

Stosur is capable of meltdown at any time.  Martic could give her a scare in the first round if she finds her form and her big groundstrokes hit the lines. If Stosur makes it through she should be safe enough to reach the 4th round as the winner from Lepchenko v Cohen will be unlikely to beat the Aussie.

Li Na plays Dellacqua in the second round and if she makes it through Clijsters is likely to be waiting for her in the third round.

I’m not as confident about predicting latter rounds in the women’s draw but I think we will see Azarenka v Goerges and Li/Clijsters v Stosur in the 4th round.

Predicted quarter final: Azarenka v Stosur

 

Section 2 looks like a complete minefield for anyone trying to pick winners in the early rounds. We have Kvitova who won last week. Will she have enough in the energy reserves for a lengthy campaign? Sharapova should be more rested as she didn’t play last week.

Sharapova has an easy draw through to round 4.  Kvitova has players who on their day could take advantage  if she attempts to conserve energy. Cornet and certainly Wickmayer won’t be pushovers.

Other big names include Bartoli who looks good to reach the 4th round. Petrova and Safarova look set to meet in the third round. Safarova will fancy her chances there.

Predicted quarter final: Sharapova v Kvitova

 

Section 3 has the beast that is Serena Williams.  There’s no one  that can trouble her before the 4th round which is where Kirilenko should be her opponent.  Kiri has Scheepers, Arn and probably Zakopalova before she reaches that 4th round but the way she has been playing lately they are straight forward games for her.

The other half of this section has Wozniacki who, as long as she is fit, has an easy path to the 4th round. Once there she is likely  to come up against Ivanovic but if Ivanovic’s confidence is low she may be ousted by America’s Sloane Stephens.

Other than having the hot favourite this is probably the weakest section of the draw.

Predicted quarter final: Wozniacki v Serena Williams

 

Section 4 has a bit more quality. Kerber is one of the stronger contenders but is perhaps unlucky to meet Venus in the second round. Venus seems to be performing at a more consistent level and that would be a match better suited to a latter round. The home crowd will be a factor but I am still going with Kerber for the win. Whoever gets through will probably find Paszek waiting in the 3rd round. Paszek isn’t quite the player that she is on grass and she will struggle against either Kerber or Williams.

Errani has a great chance to reach the 4th round although a probable match with homegirl McHale could test her in round 3.

Cibulkova’s form has dipped recently and her performance against an injured Wozniacki last week was pathetic. She is likely to fall to Mona Barthel in the second round.

I think Vinci’s limbs will be heavy this week after her title win and a second round exit at the hands of  Shvedova is likely. A third round clash between Shvedova and Barthel should be a cracker and my money would be on Shvedova.

That leaves A Rad and Jankovic. Jankovic was poor in her final with Vinci and I don’t mean just her play. She showed a  very negative attitude that will not serve her well in New York. I think she will reach the 3rd round where she will meet Radwanska. A Rad hasn’t been at he best but I think she will turn on the style for this tournament.

Predicted quarter final: Kerber v Radwanska

 

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