US Open, week 1 – Saturday

A few players seem to not realise that they are in one of the biggest tournaments of the year judging by the lack of effort. Quite frustrating if you have backed one of them! Also tennis players aren’t known for the intelligence but you have to imagine that some of them need someone to tie their laces before they go on court.

Lets flip that coin again…..

 

Jankovic v Pavlyuchenkova:

Pav leads the head to heads 2-0 with their last match being in February this year and was on a hard court.

Both players are in good form. Jankovic reached the final a couple of weeks ago losing to Sharapova in 3 sets and Pav reached the quarter finals in New Haven losing to Li in 3 sets.

Their stats are remarkably similar and this is likely to be very tight but I am going with Pavlyuchenkova for the win.

In her last match Jankovic seemed to have a back problem and had the trainer on several times. Her movement wasn’t good and Pav will be more able to take advantage of this than Dokic was. (2.30)

Update: Early in the first set Jankovic had break point after break point but couldn’t take one of them.

Pav held on to win 6-4, 6-4.

 

Monaco v Haas:

Haas must be happy with his tournament so far. He has lost just 1 set so far and has served well. This may be as far as he goes.

Monaco has had two potentially tricky matches so far but Stepanek and Seppi were both despatched in straight sets.

Monaco leads the head to heads 2-1 and has won their last 2 matches. They last played a couple of weeks ago and it went to 3 sets with Haas winning the opening set in a tie break.  Haas has slightly better stats on serve and he will need that to be at its very best today. Monaco has significantly better stats on return of serve and Haas will find it difficult to get the ball past him.

I think this is unlikely to be over in straight sets and the longer the match goes the more it favours the claycourter’s fitness.

Haas will probably start the match serving well and gradually fade with each set. I will back part stake on Monaco at the start and look to add the rest at a higher price. Anything over 1.80 to 1.90 is acceptable. (1.47)

Update: Haas’ serve kept him in the tie for a while and won him the opening set. After that Monaco was in control and won 6-7, 6-3, 6-2, 6-3.

 

Tsonga v Verdasco:

Verdasco won their 2 previous meetings which were both on hard courts. The last one was in January last year.

Of the two players Tsonga is probably in slightly better form although Verdasco’s performancess have improved since he shaved his head! He recently took Nadal to a third set tie break. He has come through his first 2 matches fairly comfortably.

Tsonga has had quite a good draw so far with Bubka and Lu both failing to take a single set from him.

Tsonga starts as strong favourite at 1.52 which I feel is a little too short. I expect him to win the match but also think he will trade higher in the opening set.

Both are playing quite aggressively and the standard of serve will be crucial. Tsonga’s serve stats are slightly better but Verdasco’s return is stronger. I will place a lay on Tsonga at the start but will be ready to bail quite quickly if Verdasco starts slowly. Ideally Verdasco will take the opening set so we can Back Tonga above evens. (1.52)

Update: Easier than expected for Tsonga. He won 6-3, 7-5, 6-4.

 

 

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