Tursunov v Mahut: The Russian starts as slight favourite at 1.75 but Mahut loves grass courts. If both play the way they can this will be very tight and potentially a 3 setter. Tursunov reached the quarter finals of the Nottingham Challenger event beating Ward on the way in straight sets. Mahut seems capable of making a tough match of it against higher ranked players but usually falls a little short at the end. Leave the first couple of games alone and backing each on serve seems a good option.
Update: Leavin the first 2 games alone was a good idea as the players exchanged breaks. Most games went with serve after that and Tursunov won 7-6, 3-6, 6-3.
Berrer didn’t seem to have much of a return game against Almagro until the Spaniard decided he couldn’t be bothered in the third set. In the first 2 sets Almagro served well and Berrer didn’t get near to a break. Giraldo is another clay courter who can play a bit on grass. He reached the quarter finals of this tournament last year. Berrer will need to lift his game today as he wouldn’t even be here if Almagro hadn’t imploded. Giraldo is by far the better returner and as a claycourter is more consistent in the rallies. Its a lay of Berrer for me.
Update: Giraldo won 7-6, 6-3.
Nieminen should be worth a back at 1.33 as I don’t give Gremelmayr much of a chance against him on grass.
Update: Nieminen can be such a plank. terrible first set followed by a great second set. In the third he was 2 breaks up at 5-2 and still managed to lose.
Gremelmayr won 7-6, 2-6, 7-6.
Baghdatis is at 1.90 against Haase. Baggy made his usual terrible start against Clement but once he started playing properly he looked ok. Haase played some solid tennis against Zverev (although lost concentration when he had a strong lead) and the crowd will get right behind him. He doesn’t have a good record in his home country though and has lost 4 of his last 5 in Holland. If Baghdatis can avoid another slow start or at least stay in contention in the early games I think he’ll come through this. With Almagro out he’s now top seed! In the last round Haase had a strong lead in the first set but allowed his opponent to come back. If Zverev can come back against him you have to feel that Baghdatis could. We could see some juicy prices on Baghdatis half way through the opening set which I will be taking unless his play suggests he doesn’t care.
Update: People said I was mad! Baghdatis won 7-5, 6-4.