17:30 – Mayer v Chardy
Rankings are 45 and 58. They haven’t played before.
This will be Mayer’s first competitive match on hard courts since he played the semi final of the German Open.
Chardy had a great week last week and surprised a few people by beating Baghdatis, Verdasco and Davydenko. He has been playing some great tennis.
I’d expect Chardy to get off to the quicker start as Mayer adjusts to the faster courts.
Mayer’s serve, when working, is successful 65% of the time to Chardy’s 56%. He holds serve 87% of the time to 82% from Chardy.
Mayer wins a higher proportion of points against serve than his opponent.
If Chardy gets his nose in front I think Mayer will find it tough to pull him back. Back both on serve but I think Chardy will take a close match.
We could see a tiebreak or two.
Update: Chardy won 6-2, 7-6.
20:00 – Baghdatis v Bellucci
Rankings are 20 and 25. They have never played before.
Baghdatis reached the final of the Legg Mason event recently where he lost to Nalbandian. He has lost in the first round of the last 2 tournaments and he’ll be keen to change that run this week.
Bellucci came through a tough match with Becker last night and fully deserved the win.
Baghdatis will be well rested and my pick for this match. His first serve percentage is below 50% over the last 3 months which is very poor. However he still manages to hold serve 78% of the time with Bellucci holding 77%.
Backing Baggy on serve can be a nervy affair and I usually scalp his matches. Entry points of 30-0 and 30-15 are favourites. Bellucci’s second serve can be weak and I’d expect Baghdatis to attack it. Backing Baggy at 0-30 on Bellucci’s second serve is also a good option.
Update: Baghdatis won 6-2, 4-6, 7-6.