Wimbledon 2014 – Week 1, Day 3

We’re into the second round and value isn’t any better than round one! At least liquidity should be better today with slightly fewer matches on at the same time.

 

ATP, 11:30Matosevic has left it late to have his break through season but he is having some unexpected success in 2014. Three quarter finals on hard courts at the start of the season promised a lot but other than a win over Kohlschreiber he hadn’t backed up those early performances. However now we’re into the grass season things are working out for him. he reached the final of the Nottingham Challenger and at Queens Club he knocked out Cilic and Tsonga before falling to Wawrinka in the quarter final. He beat Verdasco earlier this week and it’s getting harder to ignore the Aussie.

Chardy also started the season well but he too tailed off after February. He made the quarter finals in Rome and the quarter finals at Eastbourne.

This should be a good battle and is unlikely to be over in 3 sets. Chardy needs to get off to a fast start because Matosevic seems to like leading from the front. If I can back Matosevic when a break behind I will do so. I think he takes this in 4 or 5 sets.

Update: Matosevic was broken early but broke back late in the set which he then won in a tie break. Some very tight sets and matosevic had a break lead in the 5th but couldn’t hold onto it.

Chardy won 6-7, 7-6, 7-6, 4-6, 7-5.

 

WTA, 11:30Vesnina lost her title when she was beaten by Madison Keys in the second round in Eastbourne. She needs to pick up some points at Wimbledon and has a chance to do that as she went out at this stage in 2013.

Her opponent today is Zahlavova Strycova who has shown excellent form on the grass so far. She reached the final in Birmingham.

They have only met once before which was at Wimbledon in 2010 and Zahlavova Strycova won easily in straight sets. The starting prices were similar today but I think the outcome will be different.

Zahlavova Strycova has been suffering with a leg injury which she takes pain killers for. That’s going to force her to retire or withdraw in the not too distant future. Playing Vesnina won’t help that at all as she will be pushed and pulled to all corners of the court.

I will back Vesnina if she goes an early break behind.

Update: Vesnina was broken early in the set and whilst she had so many chances to break back she wasted them all. Close but no cigar. This one cost me a decent size red.

BZS won 6-4, 6-2.

 

ATP, 13:30Baghdatis dealt well with Dustin Brown in the first round. He had retired at Queens Club the week before but didn’t show any real signs of the injury.

Leo Mayer has beaten him both times on clay but Baghdatis won their hard court encounter. .

If Mayer can serve well he can cause Baghdatis some problems. I think its worth laying Baghdatis at the start. This could turn into a long match though and as Mayer played 5 sets in the first round his serve could become less effective as we go beyond set 3.

I think I’ll be satisfied if Mayer can take the first set and I’ll move onto the next match.

Update: Perfect! May took the opening set in a tie break. He went on to win 7-6, 4-6, 6-1, 6-4.

 

WTA, 14:00Makarova will be too strong for Doi but if she can make another awful start as she did against Date Krumm that would be perfect to back her at a higher price.

Update: Makarova faced break points in her second service game to give us the higher entry price. I got in around 1.75 though I’m sure it went higher. Makarova looked comfortable after that and won 7-5, 6-4.

 

WTA, 16:30Garcia beat Errani in a match that spread over 2 days. they resumed yesterday at 1 set all after Garcia had saved match points the previous evening. She started superbly and took a 4-0 lead but was pulled back to 5-5 before breaking Errani again and serving out the match.

Garcia starts as a 1.80 favourite against Lepchenko but she faces a different type of opponent in the American. She found it easy to attack the Errani serve but if Lepchenko serves as well as she can then Garcia has a real fight on her hands. Garcia can sometimes struggle against another big server.

This is likely to be 3 sets and I am slightly favouring Lepchenko to get the win.

Update: Lepchenko was first to break and served for the set. However she was broken and Garcia went on to take the set.

Garcia won 7-5, 6-3.

 

WTA, 18:30 – When Wickmayer hits form she can be tough to beat as Stosur discovered in the first round. It doesn’t happen very often but when it does she can usually string 2 or 3 good performances together before throwing in a real shocking performance. The last time it happened on grass was at Eastbourne last season. She beat McHale, Kvitova and Kirilenko before losing to Vesnina in the semi final 6-2, 6-0 .

This is Konjuh’s second tournament on grass. Earlier this month she lost in the first qualifying round. In this tournament she has won through the 3 qualifying rounds and beat Erakovic in the main draw first round. Erakovic is really struggling with her form at the moment.

If Wickmayer continues the form she showed in round 1 she should take this and she starts as a 1.80 favourite. I’ll be backing from the start.

Update: Wickmayer took a tight first set but fell apart after that.

Konjuh won 3-6, 6-2, 6-2.

 

 

 

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5 thoughts on “Wimbledon 2014 – Week 1, Day 3”

  1. Michael McNicholas

    Hi Paul,

    Paid £29 for your service yesterday.

    I am a returning member i.e. have joined and subscribed to your service before but cannot logon to the members’ forum and haven’t received trading guide etc. Can you help?

    Thanks.

    Michael McNicholas

    1. HI Michael,

      If you have paid in the past there is no need to pay again. let me check the records. Is your Paypal email address the same as the one you used to comment?

      I will check it anyway and email you direct.

      Paul

    2. Hi again Michael,

      I have emailed you also. I found your purchase from 2009 but haven’t had the payment you mention in your comment for yesterday.

      If you let me know your preferred username on the blog I will set it up and grant it access to the Guide and members pages.

      Paul

      1. Ok I found it! You have the username that I set up for you yesterday. I emailed you details of how to access the members area. When you’re logged in you will see a link to Tradeshark members on the green menu bar. The Guide is in there.

        I will refund your payment from yesterday.

        Paul

        1. The second payment wasn’t in your own name but in a company name which is why I couldn’t match it. The refund has been issued.

          Please confirm, either on here or by email that you have access to the Members area and Guide.

          Paul

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