13:00 – Safarova v Kvitova
Kvitova leads the head to heads 5-0 but they played on grass last month and it went to a 3rd set tie break. Safarova hasn’t lost a set so far and made Cibulkova and Makarova look very ordinary.
Kvitova has lost just the one set which was to Venus Williams. She has looked fairly comfortable in her other matches.
Both are playing well and serving well. Kvitova is at a slight advantage as she has been at this stage of the tournament before. She reached the semi finals in 2010 and then won the title the year after. In the last 2 seasons though she lost in the quarter finals. This is the first time Safarova has been past the third round. In the previous 6 seasons she only won 2 matches in total. This semi final is a big deal for her.
Kvitova is way too low at 1.40 and will trade higher in play but I expect her to win a very tight match.
It is worth laying Kvitova either at the start or below 1.30 if you want slightly better value. I think we will see a lot of price swings and lead changes in this one.
15:00 – Bouchard v Halep
This should be a great match and will come down to who handles the occasion better at arguably the biggest tournament in the world. Wimbledon is a little different to the other slams with all its history and traditions. Neither player has reached this stage before although Bouchard has been in every slam semi final this year and Halep made the final at Roland Garros.
They have played just once before which was in Indian Wells in March. Halep won in 3 sets.
Bouchard served at 3-3 against Kerber and saved 4 break points. Kerber fell apart after that and lost 5 of the next 6 games. By the time Kerber got her head together Bouchard was a double break up in the second set. Kerber almost pulled back and had a break point to get back on serve but wasn’t able to take it.
Halep struggled with her serve in the early games and went 1-4 down against Lisicki but once she found her serve Lisicki was blown away. Halep is a big match player and I feel if she gets those chances that Kerber wasn’t able to take she won’t be wasting them.
I think Bouchard will get off to a better start but Halep will come through.
Halep starts at 1.62 but I think we will see her approaching evens in the first set.