Leylah Fernandez 1.87, Heather Watson 2.08
Due to start at midnight.
Watson has won both their previous matches. Their most recent match was in August last year. It was in the semi finals of the Vancouver ITF hard court tournament. She won in straight sets. Their other match was indoors in 2018. She won that one in 2 sets.
Overall results favour Fernandez in the last 12 months. Hard court results also favour her in the same period.
Watson won her last 2 matches this week as underdog. In the quarter final she beat Christina McHale in 3 sets and then defeated in form Xiyu Wang in 2 close sets in the semi final.
Fernandez has come through the qualifying rounds and 4 main draw matches without losing a set. She was underdog in the second round and quarter final. Nao Hibino was easily beat in round 2 for the loss of just 3 games. The quarter final was closer but Anastasia Potapova only managed to break the Fernandez serve twice. In the semi final Renata Zarazua disrupted Fernandez’ game but still couldn’t take a set.
Stats for the tournament all favour Fernandez. This should go to 3 sets. Some value on Watson. Lay Watson around 1.65 to 1.70 and remove some or all liability at 2.30. Lay the set 1 winner.
