Due to start at 3 pm
Tig 2.52, Rybakina 1.64
This will be their first meeting.
Patricia Maria Tig has a better win percentage this season but has only played 8 matches. She won her last 3 matches as underdog. She beat the defending champion Sevastova, plus Pliskova and Siegemund. She has come through the qualifying rounds.
Elena Rybakina was underdog in just 1 of her matches this week. Two of her matches were close and Kuzmova served for the opening set in their quarter final. She has not lost a set this week.
Stats for the tournament favour Tig in every category other than service holds. Rybakina has held her serve 89% of the time compared to 84% for Tig.
We have some value on the local player Tig and I think she can take a set. Lay Rybakina if she breaks first. Back her if SHE is broken first. Three sets seem likely. I give a slight edge to Rybakina but it will be a tight final.
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