Due to start at 7 pm
Falconi 2.86, Maria 1.49
Maria has won both their previous matches. their most recent match was in Charleston, USA. She won in straight sets on the American green clay. Her other win was also on clay in an ITF tournament in France and she won in 2 sets.
Falconi has better overall results this year but Maria started to find form on the grass in Mallorca in June and won the title. She beat Radwanska last week at the US Open.
Falconi has come through the qualifying rounds this week. She has not won a main draw match since June. She has not won a main draw hard court match since November last year.
Maria should come through this with her re-found confidence but wait for 1.80 as I think it could be tight.
Update: Maria won 7-5, 6-3. Our target price was hit in the first set.