Due to start at 7 pm
Kuznetsova 2.72, Keys 1.57
Keys has won all 3 of their previous matches. The last time they met was in October 2016 in Beijing. She won in straight sets. She won all 3 of their matches on hard courts in 2 sets. Kuznetsova retired in their first meeting back in 2014.
Keys has a slightly better win percentage in the last 12 months and has played a lot more matches this season.
Kuznetsova is having an amazing week. NO ONE expected her to get anywhere near the final. A week before the US Open starts some of the top players are not giving 100% If they are nursing injuries they don’t want to risk making it worse so that they have time to recover before the 26th. Barty, Pliskova, Stephens and Yastremska is an impressive list of victims this week.
Keys has also had a great week. I doubt that many people expected to see her in this final ether. She has not had her best season so far and has had some injury and confidence issues. She started playing better tennis last week but her lack of confidence led to a choke against Vekic from match point. She seems more relaxed this week and is even smiling on court. We can assume that as she is in the final she wants to be there and will be going all out to win.
Kuznetsova has had a great run but I think she will struggle today. Keys made a fast start against Kenin and was 5-2 up with a single break but was broken serving for the set. She broke again to take the set. That suggests that if things don’t go totally her way she isn’t going to fold as she has done so many times this season.
Back Keys around 1.75 to 1.80