Kontaveit won their only previous meeting in August 2015. That was on the hard courts of the US Open and she won in 2 close sets.
Kontaveit has much better stats in 2017 though her win in the last round was her first main tour win of the season. She beat Doi in straight sets. She has come through the
qualifying rounds this week.
Pavlyuchenkova has not played yet this week. Her last match was a very poor loss to Jabeur in Dubai as a 1.19 favourite. She doesn’t have a great record in Indian Wells and I see some value on Kontaveit to take at least a set.
Lay Pavlyuchenkova below 1.40. She starts around 1.60. Good chance of 3 sets.