Giorgi 2.26, Radwanska 1.77
Head to heads are 1-1. They last met in Katowice, Poland on an indoor hard court. Giorgi won that semi final in straight sets. Radwanska’s win was at Wimbledon in June 2012. She won in 2 sets.
Radwanska had a poor season last year but did reach the final of this tournament. Their hard court results were very similar last year with 60% of matches won. In the first round she played Britain’s Johanna Konta in a repeat of last year’s final. Konta won the final but this time she was carrying an injury and it was Radwanska who took the match in straight sets. In the second round Radwanska had a tight opening set with Catherine Bellis which she took in a tie break. She took the second set 6-0.
Giorgi has come through the qualifying rounds and beat Stephens and Kvitova in the main draw. Both those opponents gave her a lot of help with unforced errors. Even so, Kvitova served for the opening set but was broken and Giorgi took the set in a tie break.
I think this goes to 3 sets so we have some value on Giorgi to take a set. Back Radwanska if she gets broken first or if she loses set 1.