Could be a messy match with many breaks. Vesnina to come out on top.
Vesnina 1.53, Townsend 2.86
This will the first time they have played.
Townsend has better overall results in the last 12 months. 2018 results slightly favour Vesnina.
Vesnina reached the final of this tournament in 2016 but lost her first match in 2017. She had a good 3 sets win over Brengle in the last round. There were 16 breaks of serve in that match. Vesnina was broken 7 times.
Townsend beat Watson in the last round. She faced 21 break points and was broken 5 times. Watson was broken 8 times from 16 break points.
Expect many breaks in this match. I favour Vesnina but think we will get a better price. Back her above 1.80.
Update: Vesnina was broken in her first service game. She went on to win 6-4, 6-1.